Yesterday was Election Day

[jpmassar]

Democrats could not keep their New Hampshire special elections streak going. The Republican won by a convincing margin, despite 17% of the vote going to the Libertarian. See here for some background. There is one more New Hampshire special election scheduled in the near future, on September 20th

Comments

[schmengie]

fwiw, Jon Ralston of Nevada (he is considered very informed in Nevada politics) says the Heller seat is a blow out for the Republicans

RalstonFlash
Tunrout in Democratic Clark County is putrid (under 10%) in #nv02, especially for Dems. GOPers have 50%-33% in one area Dems should do well.
8 hours ago

RalstonFlash
Same old, same old: Republicans had a 10-point edge Tues in #nv02 early voting in Washoe County. Only 3 days of early voting left. #endnigh

and 538 had an article today on the Weiner seat that says close, but still advantage Democrats
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/09/07/race-to-replace-weiner-down-to-the-wire/

[schmengie]

fyi...tweets from kos pollster ppp

My pretty straight forward take on the first night of our NY-9 poll: Dems in BIG trouble. It deserves the caps.

If David Weprin wins this race, he's going to win it in the final 5 days.

[jpmassar]

Indeed.

Pretty weird. There's no obvious reason for this that I've heard suggested. Both candidates have made gaffes. It's a D district. There could be some local dynamic that's not being well reported.

[schmengie]

well, I have no clue and I assume it will still go D..some republican strategist tweeted ( i have no idea how true this is)

Would not surprise me if NY-9 went R. This area has been trending very R since 9/11 including a swing to McCain (!)