Latest big Harris poll is out, and it has some bad news for Biden and Democrats ( Read more... )

Today's lesson in political doubletalk:

Yesterday afternoon the top politicians from the White House and Congress met to discuss the debt ceiling and the budget. By the end of their discussion, they agreed to meet again on Friday, while directing their staffs to continue working together daily. This might look to you & me like they're all ( Read more... )

I woke early, stretched, and expect to run 3 miles before I start teleworking. Meanwhile, Sam is resting on my lap ( Read more... )

The US is now expected to crash into its statutory debt limit sometime in late July. Under statute, the federal government may only borrow a certain amount from the public, and as a result will run out of cash on or before July 31. Broadly speaking, there are only two ways out of this: (1) Congress increases the limit, and (2) the President mints ( Read more... )

But he made it official, he's running again. 70% told a recent poll that they didn't want Biden to run again. 60% told the same poll that they didn't want Trump to run again either. Yet, both of these broadly unpopular men lead their own party's races for the nomination, showing that our New Normal continues -- since 2016 both major parties have ( Read more... )

I do get kinda tired of Democrats whining about how "Democracy itself will be on the ballot" every couple years. Anyway, I expect Trump to win the popular vote against Biden in 2024, no cheating required.

What was the average popular-vote victory spread when an incumbent President lost his re-election due to a recession ( Read more... )

"32 percent of respondents said President Biden should be reelected, while 67 percent said they believe Biden does not deserve to be reelected"

To remain an "official" political party with ballot access in Maryland, the Maryland Green Party needed to poll at least 1% in the governor's race last year (or the president's race in a presidential year). It did not, it came in fifth of the five official parties. So on Saturday I received a letter from the Maryland Board of Elections telling me ( Read more... )

If I were to follow through with this Fantasy Republican 2024 scenario I'd definitely vote for Nikki Haley (aka Nimarata Nikki Randhawa) over Trump (aka Drumpf) in the primary, no question about it.  But I expect up to a dozen more candidates to jump in by the end of summer.  Maybe sooner.  So far she's pitching herself as a younger anti-socialist ( Read more... )

Recent polling shows both how unpopular President Biden is (even among Democrats), and how Trump would beat Biden if a rematch were held today. Most people in the US (52%) do not approve of Biden's performance, and (62%) do not want him to run again. Most Democrats (58%) would prefer another candidate to Biden. And given a choice between Biden ( Read more... )