I think it can pretty much be assumed that the current push for health care reform will fail. We might get a couple token bills out of the deal, but I'm pretty sure nothing substantive will change. It was actually one line in an article in The Economist (I know, I know, Ooohhh, I read the economists, oohhh) that sort of summed it up pretty well
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Seeing the price of COBRA (the same price that your employer pays) is really eye-opening.
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A back of the envelope calculating at 2200b[1] with 300m people is ~$600 a month. That's on par per capita with rent or car, and easily more than groceries.
Of course, the "open" market has the problem that it primarily gets the rejects from the employer system, which means that "insurers" have no real incentive to pick these people up.
[1] 2007 $7421/capita/yr http://www.kaiseredu.org/topics_im.asp?imID=1&parentID=61&id=358
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Insurance is a total confusopoly. I wish it were easier to compare prices and assess the value of policies.
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Also, costs will continue to spiral out of if no one even sees the real cost of the care they recieve.
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What I'm saying is that well all 'know' our health care is expensive, and intellectually we think we ought to do something about that, but very few of us actually feel that expense. Reform is almost always painful in some way, so when we actually start asking people bear that pain their going to balk because for most people, the pain of our current system is only theoretical.
I'm not advocating for or against the currently proposed plan, I'm just saying until people actually feel the system is broken rather than just sort of intellectually think it is, we're ( ... )
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If we all worked for the same company, it would be identical to government paid health care. Obviously we don't, so it's not the same, but there are similarities, especially given that some companies are quite large, and it's not exactly easy to move from job to job.
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