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Comments 13

timprov February 12 2007, 04:50:16 UTC
I don't understand anyone's play in this hand, but yes, don't fold.

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shipitfish February 12 2007, 08:25:48 UTC
You agree with swolfe, I assume, that I should bet out?

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timprov February 12 2007, 08:53:46 UTC
Yeah, checking sucks royally if he ever shows up with JJ here.

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swolfe February 12 2007, 06:16:54 UTC
don't fold.

also, go ahead and bet the flop...it doesn't matter if his range is really as tight as you think, and gets better value if it's wider. a check-raise after a reraise is way too obivously a set and will lose you value against AX.

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shipitfish February 12 2007, 08:26:46 UTC
Yeah, I check-raised in hopes to trap him some if he did have AK. I suspected he'd lead for the pot size with that, and wanted him pot stuck on the flop. But, leading was probably good too.

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bwdpoker February 13 2007, 03:01:19 UTC
Couldn't agree more.

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yeah... shipitfish February 13 2007, 04:34:55 UTC
I am starting to believe the check-raise is useless in NL HE except when you flop two pair. :)

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roryk February 13 2007, 18:59:25 UTC
you flopped a set the goal is to get all of the money in

if you check raise you give him a shot to get away from hands like AK
or AQ or KQs or something if he has those 20.

if you lead out, he has to fold those hands for 20 which he will never
do. he will probably raise you. if he does raise you then he is putting in 100 and now it is easier to get the rest of his money in when you reraise all in since he is more pot committed.

also if you put him on QQ or AA then he is even money to have both those
hands. so you have 50% equity vs his range and you can never fold because of the dead money in the pot. you spend your time worrying about the wrong things.

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shipitfish February 13 2007, 21:41:30 UTC
Thing is, in the games I'm playing in, there is nothing else to worry about. What I'm actually thinking about all the time that is too detailed to post about quickly (but which I want to post about soon) is that I don't think I want to play poker much longer primarily for the income, because, while I can obviously pick games that I'm a huge favorite to and can make substantial income in them, I don't really like it all that much and don't like how I'm spending my time. More on this on future posts, but I think you'd probably agree that is thinking about the right things. :)

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