The world before later on.

[rockmarooned]

Best Actor:The near-locks at this point are Jamie Foxx, Paul Giamatti, and Leonardo DiCaprio. The remaining forces to be reckoned with for those last two slots are Javier Bardem, Don Cheadle, Johnny Depp, and Clint Eastwood. The remaining longshots still in the game at this point are Sean Penn and Liam Neeson

Comments

you are totally fucking up my Oscar ballot, Mr. Hassenger.

[wmetoile]

I'll see your Supporting Actors and raise you James Garner in The Notebook. The man has never won, and he was fucking Maverick. Poor Peter (Sarsgaard, not Llewelyn-Davies) is probably a bigger longshot now that the Clive won the Golden Globe. Unfair, but true.

Cloris Leachman might also have a fingernail's worth of a chance with Spanglish, as she was the only likeable character in it (yeah, Paz Vega pissed me off in a huge way with that benevolent madonna act).

Michel Gondry is probably a better bet than Pedro for the foreign (language) director slot, but I wouldn't count out Zhang Yimou or, for that matter, Jean-Pierre Jeunet, should the Academy have a froggy year. The whole race will come down to Eastwood and Scorsese, though. Marc, Alex, thank you for playing. Here's your enormous gift basket.

I'll agree with you that I'd love to see The Incredibles smash the animation ghetto wall and make a stab at Best Picture, but I'd be just as happy if Hotel Rwanda got the slot that was reserved for Ray way back in October. Looks like I

Re: you are totally fucking up my Oscar ballot, Mr. Hassenger.

[rockmarooned]

Eh, most of those Oscar ballots are already checked off, aren't they? The Globes can't do much at this point. Sarsgaard is a longshot, but was he ever expect to win at the Globes? If there *is* any result of that, I'd say that Haden Church looks somewhat less inevitable. Hopefully Virginia Madsen, too, because, really, what the hell.

I forgot about Very Long Engagement-- that could hit director or screenplay, and certainly tech stuff.

Yeah, I didn't get the Rwanda fuss. Certainly I'm glad it was made and I'm glad I saw it and others are seeing it, but will I ever watch it again, probably not. They made a lot of pretty safe choices. Although it may well be a lot better than Ray, which I still haven't seen.

[transmit]

The sad thing is that The Incredibles probably isn't going to even win best animated feature.

And with that Oscars, you take yet another step in the direction of the Grammys. The only way I could care now is if Spider-Man 2 recieved it's rightfully deserved 10 nominations (oh, I counted it out, and it should probably truthfully only be 9, but if J.K. Simmons changed his name to Geoffry Rush he'd have that fucker in the bag).

[rockmarooned]

Oh, I think The Incredibles will win best animated feature, Shrek 2 nonwithstanding. I like to think that The Incredibles made Shrek 2's $440 million seem kinda crass.

Speaking of absolutely inferior sequels to overrated movies making a mint, Meet the Fockers is going to outgross The Incredibles and may hit $300 million. If this is what America spends on comedy during a bad economy, jebus only knows what'll happen if we ever recover. So is Dodgeball 2 going to make $450 million? Rush Hour 3, $605 million?

SM2... picture, director, actor, screenplay, FX, score, editing, ... ? Supporting actor? Art direction? K-Dunst gets "best line reading" for "whatever *that* means!"

my eyes...MY EYES

[wmetoile]

I agree that Incredibles has its category locked up, because unlike Shrek 2, it was a single person's vision, brilliantly executed rather than a smushed-together-sequel-by-committee.

We had this odd discussion around here last week about why shitty movies like Fockers make so much freaking money. One theory is that over the holiday there really wasn't anything to go see with your whole family (unless you go see Incredibles again, which mine did). And though I hate to think that geriatric sex jokes and a flushed purse pooch are family-friendly humor, I suppose we have to chalk it up to "America: What the Fuck?!"

And don't get me started on goddamn Spider-Man 2. Supporting actor? For which one? James Franco has one expression, and Alfred Molina, however much I loved him in Coffee and Cigarettes, did a Pacino on the (digital) scenery.

Re: my eyes...MY EYES

[rockmarooned]

The FANTASTIC Mr. JK Simmons, who Rob actually already alluded to (my bad).