Not down with the 538? Get on it!

Oct 25, 2008 19:54


So what's the state of the race today, with only 9 days of campaigning to go?

Find out! )

fivethirtyeight, nate silver taught numbers how to fuck

Leave a comment

Comments 98

perfectisafault October 26 2008, 02:54:45 UTC
McCain win % - 4.3
LOLOLOLOLOLOL

Reply


fly October 26 2008, 02:56:22 UTC
two words: BRADLEY EFFECT
:'(

and lol muslin

Reply

superhetoric October 26 2008, 02:57:53 UTC
nate also sort of debunked the bradley effect:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/bradley-effect-revisited.html

Reply

nicole_anell October 26 2008, 03:10:10 UTC
Enough with the Bradley Effect. How much could racism be SECRETLY affecting this race? Seems to me that people who won't vote for Obama because he's black are either (1) being extremely open about it, or (2) claiming they support McCain for "other" reasons.

Don't buy into it. My biggest fear is that the Repubs will try to steal this election and use the Bradley Effect to explain the polling/results discrepency.

Reply

fly October 26 2008, 03:14:54 UTC
definitely a disgusting possibility

Reply


winniechili October 26 2008, 02:59:00 UTC
I hate that their comments section has become overrun with stupid ass trolls, and that people can't ignore them. UGH.

Reply

superhetoric October 26 2008, 03:00:23 UTC
i know. trolls are only a big deal if people pay attention to them.

Reply


ohhhmandy October 26 2008, 02:59:04 UTC
yesterday Obama had 352 electoral votes. i'm honestly worried

Reply

(The comment has been removed)

_three_chord_me October 26 2008, 04:55:38 UTC
umm thats not what those 90%+ numbers mean they refer to chances of winning the only place where obama will get 90% of the vote is in DC

Reply

winniechili October 26 2008, 03:11:43 UTC
I hope you're not SERIOUSLY worried. If you are, I'm more worried for you.

His win percentage went up one point from yesterday.

Reply


imti October 26 2008, 03:00:32 UTC
That site makes it sound too good to be true. And what's up with Nebraska in that map?

Reply

(The comment has been removed)

imti October 26 2008, 03:08:02 UTC
I did not know that. Thank you!

Reply

(The comment has been removed)


Leave a comment

Up