FiveThirtyEight's (Nate Silver) current projections for upcoming primaries.

[screamingintune]

[percentages are chances of victory]

Feb. 20th
SC Republican Primary:
Trump: 76%
Rubio: 13%
Cruz: 9%
Bush: 1%

NV Democratic Caucus:
Clinton: 75%
Sanders: 25%

Feb. 23rd
NV Republican Caucus:
Trump: 66%
Rubio: 22%
Cruz: 11%

Feb. 27
SC Democratic Primary:
Clinton: greater than 99%
Sanders: less than 1%

Comments

[screamingintune]

I would definitely take the NV forecasts with a grain of salt since there's been so little polling.

[magedragonfire]

That tag gets me every time.

[bloodlolli]

Hopefully the town halls(!) tonight will help alter the numbers.

[cher_arlequin]

man i missed seeing the "nate silver taught numbers how to fuck" tag

[ponyboy]

i have MISSED this tag