New Climate Analysis Says Heat is Going to Get Serious

Oct 10, 2013 09:47

They're predicting that in most parts of the world the new "average" will be warmer than the previous "hot" (exceeds bounds of historical variability), beginning between 2033 and 2061 (global average 2047 if we keep going the way we are). Local variations are expected. Tropical regions should get uncomfortable before elsewhere. Even a serious ( Read more... )

the long emergency, weather, parenting, science, oil, climate change

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ford_prefect42 October 11 2013, 01:50:31 UTC
This is another area where I find myself skeptical. The thing is, *none* of the AOGCM models predicted the 18 year lull in warming that we are now experiencing. None of the models have, over the last 30 years, in any way accurately predicted any timeframe after their calibration period ( ... )

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