cultural suicide by anecdote

Apr 06, 2023 08:55

“Whether it's COVID, vaccines, Bitcoin, stuff about elections, we’re swayed by the anecdote,” Nassim Nicholas Taleb says. “Our world is becoming more complex, and so requires more statistical sophistication, while social media is driving us to the most primitive way of thinking.”Yes, give people on social media one example of something, whether it ( Read more... )

we suck, statistics, asocial media

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matrixmann April 7 2023, 00:34:14 UTC
Covid vaccines and strokes - well, it would depend on the compount, from which manufacturer it was. Astra Zeneca's vaccine had troubles with blood clots and therefore was suspended in its use later (usage only in patients aged 60 or higher). - Although the quota in this was like 1 in a million. You needed a million doses administered as a minimum in order to start encountering this rare side effect.

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kanzeon_2040 April 7 2023, 09:39:32 UTC

Right, the issue is whether the vaccine is more likely to save your life than to kill you. COVID caused fatal blood clots way more often than the vaccines did.

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matrixmann April 7 2023, 10:05:39 UTC
The current soft-cooking debate about long-term side effects of the Covid vaccines that appears now is interesting in regard to how severely media and politics had tried to sweep it under the carpet and act like "this is all fake news".
It turns out side effects existed even though, and from the beginning, and the talking about it wasn't entirely about imaginations.
Only it will have to unfold how severe the problem truly is and how much not. - Whether one is talking about "rare" or side effects that appeared in 1 per every hundred vaccinated people.
- And then whether it's truly the vaccine to blame, but just the immune system's (over-)reaction onto the spike-protein immanent to Covid in general.

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