Comments | jpmassar: The Race for the Senate

jpmassar

The Race for the Senate

Oct 28, 2010 20:30

Nothing much has changed in the polling averages. A poll finally came out of Washington showing the Republican ahead by 1%, but it was a Rasmussen poll, so that means the Democrat is actually ahead by 1%. Despite this obvious truth, the polling averages for Washington tightened as a result. Interestingly, I haven't seen any report about the ( Read more... )

2010 election, florida, senate, alaska

Comments 9

chrishartman October 29 2010, 07:12:48 UTC

As usual, your local Alaskan reporter checking in.

Everybody I have talked with, including one of Miller's personal (now ex?) friends, is appalled. Many hated him from the beginning, but others supported him at first. I can't find anybody who is voting for him now. Yet, the polls still have him close. (Eeeek!)

That said, a close race is probably best for the Democrats. I'll be glued to the TV/computer on Tuesday.

jpmassar October 29 2010, 14:43:40 UTC

The polling for Alaska is both out of date and unreliable. And anyone voting for Miller at this point probably wouldn't admit to it in polite company.

Yup, it might be interesting up there on Tuesday.

schmengie October 29 2010, 11:47:23 UTC

poll out today has Rubio down 20%
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/poll-crist-slumping-toward-third-place-senate-race-between-marco-rubio-kendrick-meek

Florida is over. Add in a HUGE early voting advantage for Republicans and my guess is Rubio wins in a walk. I think he gets 45%. Crist is looking like a joke. The news about Meek will suppress African American voters. And in my opinion the biggest loser in this news is Alex Sink who needs a big turnout to win.

tom_bayes October 29 2010, 12:28:25 UTC

While I'd be shocked if Rubio doesn't win, I think the unusual nature of the Florida Senate race is a partial explanation of the early voting advantage. I know that if I lived in Florida, I'd wait until Election Day to see if Meek or Crist dropped out and barring that would cast a strategic vote for whichever of those two appeared most viable. You are 100% right that Sink could get screwed if Meek's base stays home.

schmengie October 29 2010, 12:41:17 UTC

maybe its because I live here but your explanation of the early voting edge just doesnt ring true to me. I think Florida is set for a true blowout.

We will know in 4 days

schmengie October 29 2010, 11:50:24 UTC

one more thing...Survey USA came out last night 47-47 in Washington basically confirming Rasmussen
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=029f384a-4eb6-4d84-95a4-492c810d1018

jpmassar October 29 2010, 14:33:24 UTC

And then...

D+6

KPLU

schmengie October 29 2010, 14:38:01 UTC

i find it a bit odd that a public radio station is doing polling. Have you heard of any other NPR polling? I am not saying anything is wrong with it just that it seems odd...

jpmassar October 29 2010, 14:47:44 UTC

I don't recall seeing any polls from NPR or local public television or radio stations. (KCTS 9 is a TV station)

"KCTS 9/KPLU/Washington poll"