In this thread (the relevant subthread starting about halfway down),
andybloch said (in part) the following:
...However, let's keep this all in perspective. There is cheating in poker, but how much does this cost a good player? In the WSOP final, the players put up $56,190,000, but there was only $52,818,610 in prize money. The house took $3,371,400 for
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followed by
(b) "No way can you get every player (or even a majority of players) to boycott a big, televised event, especially one for a WSOP bracelet."
Considering statement (b), and considering ESPN is in this thing to make money, I can't see any way statement (a) ever becomes true.
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BTW, I like how they fiddled with the payout structure so that everyone who made the WSOP main event final table had a seven-figure payday. Got to think the ESPN marketing boys were involved in that one.
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I have no clue as to how to actually quantify cheating impact, but I agree with JK's point that cheating cost differs from vigorish both on visibility grounds and moral grounds.
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Shouldn't you be able to a black-box analysis of the system to get a pretty decent estimate on how much cheating effects the game? You might not get an exact number, but you'd get a decently close one. I think.
I'd also think the size of the player pool is getting large enough that this might be a case of "the market getting it right" - i.e. that the level of cheating is still worth the candle. Any reason to think they're wrong about that?
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There are too many unknowns, I think. We don't know how many people are cheaters, nor how many would cheat if given the opportunity. We don't know how many opportunities really exists, or how much each of those opportunities is worth.
...I'd also think the size of the player pool is getting large enough that this might be a case of "the market getting it right" - i.e. that the level of cheating is still worth the candle. Any reason to think they're wrong about that?
I would say the market is getting it right...but I've never heard the phrase "...still worth the candle."...grin
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Usually the form has been "the game is not worth the candle", but in recent years, I've heard this version more and more.
http://www.bartleby.com/59/3/gameisnotwor.html
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