Some very prominent models and several of the more exotic and experimental kind are starting to hone in big time on a solid tropical cyclone forming within the next couple of days. Things could be getting interesting. I'm not a model monger personally, but have a great deal of respect for them in general, and take particular note when several ( Read more... )

Overnight it became apparent that at least two competing low-level circulations (LLCs) had formed, and several models have even suggested that TD1 breaks in two, with one circulation heading NE toward Florida, and the other generally WNW towards Tx. This would certainly be an interesting evolution in what NHC is tracking as "one" system. The text ( Read more... )