2020 will be a Presidential election year. As we have seen in recent times, most noticeably in 2016, polling data has not necessarily been a reliable yardstick to predict the outcome of presidential elections. Intense polarization in presidential politics is not a new concept to presidential history, but it has ebbed and flowed over time. Current ( Read more... )

This coming election, there are certain states for which there is a consensus among political analysts as to which candidate they will vote for. On the Democratic side of the ledger, it is generally seen as a safe prediction that the following states will support Hillary Clinton (electoral votes in parenthesis): California (55), New York (29), ( Read more... )

As was done in this community in 2010, I've made this poll for you to predict the results of the Midterm elections for the House of Representatives tomorrow. All 435 seats are up for grabs. Currently the Democrats hold 199 seats and the GOP hold 233 (with 3 vacant ( Read more... )

potus_geeks is three years old today! It was on March 26, 2010 that this community was formed. 1,297 journal entries and 197 members later, the geekery continues.


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Tomorrow is election day and we've all been closely following the polls and pundits. So let's all put our expertise to the test. How do you predict tomorrow's elections will turn out? Are the polls an accurate forecaster? Or will variables such as voter turnout, the undecided going against the incumbent and other factors make for a November ( Read more... )

As we enter the last weekend of the 2012 election campaign, it appears as if President Barack Obama has gained a boost in the polls as the result of his response to Hurricane Sandy. Prior to this week, his challenger Mitt Romney had been as much as a full percentage point ahed of the President in RealClearPolitics (RCP)'s aggregate polling numbers ( Read more... )

The majority of media pundits appear to have concluded that President Obama was the winner in Tuesday night's second presidential debate. This was quantified in a poll taken by CNN in which 46% of those polled who watched Tuesday night's presidential debate said that the president won the night, while 39% said that Republican nominee Mitt Romney ( Read more... )

Not that long ago, Real Clear Politics (RCP) had President Barack Obama ahead in states with a total of 265 electoral college votes. Today when I checked the map, I was surprised to see how significantly it had changed. While President Obama is still shown as ahead of Governor Mitt Romney, the total electoral college votes in his column had dropped ( Read more... )

As many a politician has reminded us, the only poll that matters is the one that they take on election day. Still, Republican candidate Mitt Romney must be feeling encouraged by what he saw in yesterday and today's poll numbers. For example, today these results were released:


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The first debate of the 2012 presidential debate was held in Denver last night. (I was invited to a house party in New Orleans where I managed to watch the whole debate.) The talking heads from the news media will be weighing in with their opinion on who was the winner and who was the loser, but before they do, let's canvass your opinion:


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