Happy Presidents Day to all members of this community. Although this holiday isn't universally observed, wherever you are, I hope it means a day off for you.


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2020 will be a Presidential election year. As we have seen in recent times, most noticeably in 2016, polling data has not necessarily been a reliable yardstick to predict the outcome of presidential elections. Intense polarization in presidential politics is not a new concept to presidential history, but it has ebbed and flowed over time. Current ( Read more... )

Happy Presidents Day to all members of this community. Although this holiday isn't universally observed, wherever you are, I hope it means a day off for you.


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Two years ago today (November 6, 2012) it was election day and Barack Obama was elected to a second term as President. No doubt that was a happier November 6th for him than this one. Looking back, on that day unlike Nate Silver, I wasn't sure what would happen and was even concerned enough about the possibility of another election being decided by ( Read more... )

Today is Presidents Day. In keeping with this community's tradition, I give you the annual Presidents Day Quiz, which can be found behind the cut below. Don't worry, there's no scoring system, just have fun with it. To check your answers, after you've done the poll, hit the view answers and see which answer kensmind selected. (He had a cheat sheet).

( The 2014 Presidents Day Quiz )

potus_geeks is three years old today! It was on March 26, 2010 that this community was formed. 1,297 journal entries and 197 members later, the geekery continues.


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Tomorrow is election day and we've all been closely following the polls and pundits. So let's all put our expertise to the test. How do you predict tomorrow's elections will turn out? Are the polls an accurate forecaster? Or will variables such as voter turnout, the undecided going against the incumbent and other factors make for a November ( Read more... )

Tonight the debate between the candidates for Vice-President from the two major political parties will take place in Centre College in Danville, Kentucky. Vice President Joe Biden and Representative Paul Ryan will go head to head in the debate, which will begin at 9:00 p.m. Eastern, 6:00 p.m. Pacific and which will be 90 minutes in length. The ( Read more... )

The first debate of the 2012 presidential debate was held in Denver last night. (I was invited to a house party in New Orleans where I managed to watch the whole debate.) The talking heads from the news media will be weighing in with their opinion on who was the winner and who was the loser, but before they do, let's canvass your opinion:


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In previous journal entry in this community, I wrote about Professor Alan J. Lichtman of Harvard University and his book called The Keys to the White House in which he theorizes that there are 13 "keys" or conditions which serve as predictors of every presidential election. If 5 or fewer of these keys are false, the incumbent party wins the next ( Read more... )