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natural_blue_26 May 3 2012, 22:29:51 UTC
See, I love Condi on foreign policy but she's more of a centrist on a LOT of social issues, so I'm not sure she would actually aid Romney with right wing voters at this time. (Not that she wouldn't be well placed elsewhere.)

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seaivy May 4 2012, 03:34:49 UTC
Rubio would probably be a good choice to try to mollify tea party conservatives and woo the hispanic vote.
But would Rubio want to derail a promising career to be a losing VP candidate?
(yes, I have my biased opinion lol)

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federalrepublic May 4 2012, 12:45:20 UTC
Rubio is the obvious choice because he meets three criteria:
(1) Appeals to the party base without alienating independents
(2) Is popular enough to help carry a major swing state
(3) Will cut into a demographic where the president leads

The fact is that Rubio may not only clinch Florida for Romney, but could ensure Nevada alsond New Mexico also fall in line.

The trouble with that is the 2012 election almost certainly will hinge on whether or not Ohio will swing back into the Republican column - Florida will probably go Romney's way regardless - and there is no Ohio Republican with the kind of local appeal Rubio has. In fact, although Rubio isn't an "ideal" VP for maximizing the bottom of the ticket, he's the best the GOP has this election cycle.

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A modern phenomenon seems to be... federalrepublic May 4 2012, 12:53:19 UTC
...that since Reagan left office the GOP base has consistently been represented better by the bottom of its ticket than the top. Consider ( ... )

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Re: A modern phenomenon seems to be... federalrepublic May 4 2012, 13:01:35 UTC
Interestingly enough, there's been no such dichotomy on the Democratic ticket over the past quarter century.

Dukakis / Bentsen ('88)
Clinton / Gore ('92, '96)
Gore / Lieberman ('00)
Kerry / Edwards ('04)
Obama / Biden ('08, '12)

Democrats have stuck with the concerns about balancing the ticket geographically ('88, '00, '04) or with Beltway experience ('92, '08) in the second slot. Notable is the Boston-Austin axis of 1960 repeated in 1988 and the rather unique ticket of Clinton/Gore both being southerners.

In contrast to the GOP, the second spot for Democrats is never an appeal to its base.

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