This was a terrible year for just about everyone and everything, and that includes my predictions for this year. That said, I did better this year than last, scoring 6 out of 14 correct predictions. Let's go through what I predicted for 2016, where I was right or wrong, and why.

1. Hillary Clinton will be elected President of the United States --- ( Read more... )

Last week, I scored myself on how I did with my 2015 predictions. Today I am making my predictions for 2016. Here we go!

1. Hillary Clinton will be elected President of the United States
2. The Democrats will gain seats in the US House of Representatives, but nowhere near enough to take control in the next Congress.
3. The Democrats will score a net gain of ( Read more... )

Back in December of 2014 --- those crazy, halcyon days gone by --- I posted my predictions for the year 2015. Unlike other prognosticators, I like to review my predictions a year later, to see how I did. Sometimes I do well, sometimes I do poorly. This time, I got a total of two (2) predictions right, my worst record so far ( Read more... )

That was fast.

Federal authorities arrested a Cincinnati man Wednesday in connection with an alleged ISIL-inspired plot to attack the U.S. Capitol.

While this technically fulfills prediction #2 for this year, one would be correct to object that Mr. Cornell, age 20, is a deluded patsy, and that this can't be considered a serious attempt to attack ( Read more... )

I predicted that Oregon would beat Alabama to win the national championship.

I was wrong.

Congratulations, Ohio State. See you in Texas on the 12th.

Go Ducks!

Earlier today (actually late last night), I posted my scorecard for my 2014 predictions. Now, here are my predictions for 2015. As usual, I'll grade myself on these a year from now -- but feel free to print them out or save a PDF to keep me honest!

1. Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush will declare their candidacies for the Presidency of the United States ( Read more... )

At the end of 2013 I presented you with my predictions for 2014. It turns out that my record this year was bloody awful. I predicted:

1. Neither the US House nor the US Senate will change hands.
2. Mitch McConnell will lose his Senate seat.
3. Wendy Davis will lose her bid to become Texas governor.
4. The major issues of 2014 will be guns and health care.
5. Oregon ( Read more... )

Earlier today, US forces are conducting ground operations against ground operations in Somalia:

The Pentagon told CNN U.S. military forces conducted an operation against Al-Shabaab in Somalia Monday. "We are assessing the results of the operation and will provide additional information as and when appropriate," Pentagon spokesman Rear Adm. John ( Read more... )

Now that FiveThirtyEight.com has gone all Huffpo, the Princeton Election Consortium is your new place for election poll analysis. In today's post, they explain the state of the Senate races:

Only four races - Kentucky, Iowa, Louisiana, and Colorado - have no clear leader at the moment. If we assign all the other races, that gives 48 Democrats/ ( Read more... )

Last year I made my Predictions for 2014. Let's see how I'm doing.

1. Neither the US House nor the US Senate will change hands. - So far, too early to tell.
2. Mitch McConnell will lose his Senate seat. - He won his primary bid handily, but the polls have him down slightly compared to his Democratic opponent, Alison Grimes.
3. Wendy Davis will lose her bid ( Read more... )