2014 Predictions Mid-Year Update
Last year I made my Predictions for 2014. Let's see how I'm doing.
- Neither the US House nor the US Senate will change hands. - So far, too early to tell.
- Mitch McConnell will lose his Senate seat. - He won his primary bid handily, but the polls have him down slightly compared to his Democratic opponent, Alison Grimes.
- Wendy Davis will lose her bid to become Texas governor. - She's still down double digits in the polls, but new allegations of corruption, combined with the life breathed into her race by the Hobby Lobby decision, might change her fortunes. I'm not holding my breath.
- The major issues of 2014 will be guns and health care. - So far the antics of Texas Open Carry have kept guns in the forefront, while the Hobby Lobby decision has galvanized Democrats. Too early to call yet, but I'm confident that this one will pan out.
- Oregon will become the first (and perhaps only) state to reverse its own anti-gay-marriage ballot measure by a subsequent ballot measure. - We can now state that this won't happen. A Federal Judge struck down Oregon's gay marriage ban, and so Oregon United for Marraige has decided not to pursue a ballot measure.
- The US will start putting boots on the ground in East Africa. - Yesterday the Pentagon revealed that the US has 120 "advisors" on the ground in Somalia to fight Islamic terrorists. That's a successful prediction, IMO.
- The US U3 unemployment rate will go below 6.5%. - This happened last month. Currently the U3 rate is at 6.1%. Another successful prediction.
- The movement to divest from Israel will become a major news story. - Too early to tell.
- Major reforms in surveillance methods will pass Congress. - Too early to tell.
- George Zimmerman will have another run-in with the law. - Not yet, but we have just a little less than six months to go.
- Super Bowl XLVIII will be Denver versus Seattle. - Called it!