Just got done watching the big CBC election special before your big day tomorrow and, if you friendly folks don't mind, weigh in a little. I'd like to believe that I've acquired a reasonable idea of politics in Canada, and figured I'd offer some random outside analysis of what I've seen and read so far. Things will probably get sillier as you go
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All Paul Martin did was distance himself from the positive aspects of the Chretien years and tie himself to the negative parts.
As for Jean Chretien, he was a damn good politician, he would've won this one, likely with a majority, but a slim one. Whichever way you cut it, the Conservatives will win the next election with a majority, whether they win a minority tonight or not.
If things had gone differently in ontario, and the party was loved, they would be a contender nationally; but that ship has sailed.
Bob Rae's NDP government in Ontario was a disaster to end all disasters. People always attack Mike Harris for supposedly destroying Ontario's public services, but all he really did was get rid of Bob Rae's copious amounts of waste and reduce government to a bit smaller than it was before Rae came in. Mike Harris cleaned up the place, yet people accuse him of decimating the very fabric and structure of the universe.
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You seem pretty sure of a conservative victory today.
I think the conservative party (of sorts) getting its act together and presenting a united alternative is a great victory for Canada.
We may as a country be willing to try this new leadership.
However, I think the election will be far from decisive.
My prediction is the liberals will continue to govern with a minority goverment;
possibly with fewer seats than the conservatives hold.
Canadians are going to reserve judgement before fully endorsing them next time,
or replacing them with the alternative new conservaties.
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Like it or not, you're wrong, and Paul Martin's trying to cheapen our votes. A vote for any party is a vote for that party, despite what Liberal fearmongering has been trying to tell us.
If someone held a gun to your head and told you to vote for a certain candidate or you'll get shot, wouldn't you think the person with the gun is a cheap, untrustworthy jerk? Well, Paul Martin and the Liberals are telling us to vote Liberal or we'll get shot in the head, they're telling us that voting NDP or third party will get us shot in the head.
I don't know about the rest of you, but blackmail isn't something I admire in people. Threats aren't something I want from a Prime Minister.
Jack Layton's NDP could suck some of the far-left anti-Harper protest vote away from the Liberals in the same way Ralph Nader sucked the anti-Republican protest vote away from Gore.Canadian politics is different from American politics. The NDP isn't a negligible ( ... )
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I prefer the Air Farce bunch, myself, but I haven't had much time for TV in a while.
I'd like to hear what you have to say about the Greens if they become marginally significant in the future =)
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