ESC 2009 ranking: the final guess

May 16, 2009 17:41

The ESC final day is here! And it's really-really hard to predict what will happen. Mostly the right songs got the final places and the average quality is very good. It's gonna be really exciting! (The 2nd semi results were already too exciting - Greece and Norway mentioned last, phiuh!) Here is some kind of a list of what would happen if I could ( Read more... )

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awendala May 20 2009, 20:52:58 UTC
Ok, I try... I did some calculations (as I don't seem to have better things to do :P).

Almost the public result = (Real points - jury points) + real points

This doesn't give the correct answer, but it takes the real results towards the direction of public votes as much as the jury votes differ from the real results. Got it? (I'm really bad in maths, this is just my logic...)

And the "Almost Public Voting Result" is this:

1. Norway 462 (387+75)
2. Azerbaijan 302 (207+95)
3. Turkey 240 (177+63)
4. Iceland 176 (218-42)
5. Greece 147 (120+27)
6. Estonia 134 (129+5)
7. UK 123 (173-50)
8. Bosnia&Herzegovina 122 (106+16)
9. Russia 115 (91+24)
10. Armenia 113 (92+21)
11. Ukraine 84 (76+8)
12. Albania 70 (48+22)
13. France 50 (107-57)
14. Portugal 50 (57-7)
15. Romania 49 (40+9)
16. Moldova 45 (69-24)
17. Sweden 39 (33+6)
18. Spain 37 (23+14)
19. Croatia 32 (45-13)
20. Finland 32 (22+10)
21. Denmark 28 (74-46)
22. Lithuania 15 (23-8)
23. Israel -1 (53-54)
24. Germany -3 (35-38)
25. Malta -25 (31-56)

It's probably somehow scewed, as three countries got minus points and Norway's victory was even more huge. :D Anyway, that's the public vote direction, maybe.

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awendala May 20 2009, 20:56:48 UTC
Correction: Norway's victory was a bit smaller. Went from 169 points to 160 points. Me and my bad maths. :D

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