Free State Project early mover political statistics

[varrin]

Somewhere in the recesses of my mind are previous statistics and predictions about Free State Project early mover campaigns for NH State House. I'd hate to lose track of such things, so I better start writing them down. I'll do that here, maybe not for the first time, but for the first time I can find.

To review, the Free State Project started in

Comments

[tlekas]

What is the last column? What is it a % of? It can't be either the percentage of those who ran who won or the percentage of the General Court who are Early Movers.

Both % columns should be more clearly labeled.

Also, I would not expect there to be a linear trend. I have not looked at the data but I would expect that Early Movers have tended to run in districts that were more likely to support a pro personal liberty candidate than the average. As the number running rises more of them will have to be running in districts that are less likely to support their positions and therefore the percentage winning should be expected to be less.