So the parliament has, to everyone’s shock, voted against military adventures in Syria.
That’s a relief.
As to “intelligence reports” that they keep waving us saying that they prove whatever? I don’t care.
I don’t care because I am unable to believe them. They could be true. They could be false. They could be created from sheer ineptitude. They
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Western intervention won't make things better.
I saw something earlier that Charles Stross(I think?) said the best assistance we can provide is getting gas masks into the hands of Syrians.
Also, if the US engages, it'll put us back at odds with Russia in a way we haven't seen in almost thirty years. Putin's out of his goddamn mind, and I don't trust the situation at all.
ETA: We're already pissing off Russia already with Obama's rejection of the LGBT laws recently enacted. Putin's got his nose out of joint from Obama cancelling talks during G20. We don't need to, pardon the expression, add fuel to the fire.
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In any case - I think the whole idea of a 'shot across the bow' is ridiculous. Assad isn't going to care. Unless whoever goes in is prepared to do enough damage to shift the balance of power, there really is no point. And shifting that balance requires risks to outside forces. All it takes is one American/UK/French plane shot down and we're into a new protracted conflict, which is not something most Americans want.
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Which is another point - what is this "shot across the bow" going to do? Depose Assad or severely weaken him? That would involve massive destruction of Syria, the Syrian army and Syrian infrastructure. "Punish" Assad? And how are we going to do that? By spanking him? Or, again, raining destruction on Damascus? Because I doubt it will hit Assad - and if our weakening of Assad makes him more desperate surely that is when he will reach for the chemicals again.
As to removing chemical weapons from whoever's hand - we cannot do that from the air. That will be a ground battle. Which means sending in troops to a Middle Eastern Country in the midst of not just a civil war, but apparently a multi-sided civil war (since Kurdish and other minorities among the rebels are fighting with the religious-possibly-extremist factions in the rebels)
Can we get an "AWWW HELL NAH?!" to that one
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