Nate vs. Me

[rhetoretician]

Nate Silver, of fivethirtyeight.com, has just posted his own final projections for today's election.

He and I agree, except on two points: He thinks that Obama will win North Carolina and Florida; I think that McCain will win both of those states.

His predictions are probability-based, so he assigns partial EVs, so his "official" projection is 348.

Comments

[girlspell]

Still have not voted. I'm about to leave work and vote, though. Here in Maryland it's started to rain. It would usually keep the lines down, but this is such an important election, I doubt it will. So might end up in a line in the rain. Such fun...

We'll see how McCain did in those states. I'm curious if he loses Arizona!

[bandcandy]

I voted early, back on October 22. Thank you for doing your projections, Ken, they've been an interesting addition to my compulsive election-watching. Erik and I are going to a watch party at the Alamo Draft House tonight, to watch the returns on the movie screen while eating decent food and drinking excellent beer.