Oscars 2020: nominations predictions
из года в год надеюсь обновить личный рекорд (см. ниже), обещая себе не делать больше одного рискованного прогноза, но опять решил, что так скучно, и сыграю против букмекеров аж четырежды, поставив на Альмодовара в режиссерах, 'A Hidden Life' в операторах и сразу двух аутсайдеров - "Аладдина" и Тома - в песнях (да еще и в ущерб всеобщему фавориту сэру Элтону). ну, в общем, как-то так
UPDATE:
2020 - 86/109 (79%)
2019 - 85/106 (80%)
2018 - 84/107 (79%)
2017 - 87/107 (81%)
2016 - 81/107 (76%)
2015 - 78/107 (73%)
2014 - 83/108 (77%)
2013 - 79/101 (78%)
2012 - 74/104 (71%)
2011 - 73/107 (68%)
Best Picture
(9/9)
'The Irishman'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
'1917'
'Parasite'
'Marriage Story'
'Joker'
'Jojo Rabbit'
'Ford v Ferrari'
'Little Women' (if 9)
'Knives Out' (if 10)
Best Director
(4/5)
Martin Scorsese, 'The Irishman'
Quentin Tarantino, 'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
Sam Mendes, '1917'
Bong Joon Ho, 'Parasite'
Pedro Almodóvar, 'Pain and Glory'
Best Actor
(3/5)
Adam Driver, 'Marriage Story'
Joaquin Phoenix, 'Joker'
Leonardo DiCaprio, 'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
Christian Bale, 'Ford v Ferrari'
Taron Egerton, 'Rocketman'
Best Actress
(4/5)
Renée Zellweger, 'Judy'
Scarlett Johansson, 'Marriage Story'
Cynthia Erivo, 'Harriet'
Charlize Theron, 'Bombshell'
Lupita Nyong’o, 'Us'
Best Supporting Actor
(4/5)
Brad Pitt, 'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
Joe Pesci, 'The Irishman'
Al Pacino, 'The Irishman'
Tom Hanks, 'A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood'
Song Kang-ho, 'Parasite'
Best Supporting Actress
(4/5)
Laura Dern, 'Marriage Story'
Jennifer Lopez, 'Hustlers'
Florence Pugh, 'Little Women'
Margot Robbie, 'Bombshell'
Scarlett Johansson, 'Jojo Rabbit'
Best Adapted Screenplay
(5/5)
'The Irishman'
'Jojo Rabbit'
'Little Women'
'Joker'
'The Two Popes'
Best Original Screenplay
(4/5)
'Marriage Story'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
'Parasite'
'Knives Out'
'The Farewell'
Best Cinematography
(4/5)
'1917'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
'The Irishman'
'Joker'
'A Hidden Life'
Best Costume Design
(3/5)
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
'Rocketman'
'Little Women'
'Dolemite Is My Name'
'Jojo Rabbit'
Best Film Editing
(4/5)
'The Irishman'
'Ford v Ferrari'
'Parasite'
'Joker'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
(3/5)
'Bombshell'
'Rocketman'
'Joker'
'Judy'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
Best Original Score
(5/5)
'1917'
'Joker'
'Little Women'
'Marriage Story'
'Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker'
Best Original Song
(2/5)
'The Lion King' ('Spirit')
'Frozen II ('Into the Unknown')
'Harriet' ('Stand Up')
'Aladdin' ('Speechless')
'Motherless Brooklyn' ('Daily Battles')
Best Production Design
(5/5)
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
'The Irishman'
'1917'
'Jojo Rabbit'
'Parasite'
Best Sound Editing
(4/5)
'Ford v Ferrari'
'1917'
'Avengers: Endgame'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
'Joker'
Best Sound Mixing
(3/5)
'Ford v Ferrari'
'1917'
'Rocketman'
'Avengers: Endgame'
'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
Best Visual Effects
(4/5)
'Avengers: Endgame'
'1917'
'Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker'
'The Lion King'
'Alita: Battle Angel'
Best Animated Feature
(4/5)
'Toy Story 4'
'Missing Link'
'How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World'
'Frozen II'
'I Lost My Body'
Best Documentary Feature
(4/5)
'Apollo 11'
'American Factory'
'Honeyland'
'For Sama'
'The Cave'
Best International Film
(4/5)
'Parasite' (South Korea)
'Les Misérables' (France)
'Pain and Glory' (Spain)
'Atlantics' (Senegal)
'Corpus Christi' (Poland)
PREDICTED TALLY:
12 - 'Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood'
8 - 'The Irishman'
8 - '1917'
8 - 'Joker'
7 - 'Parasite'
6 - 'Marriage Story'
5 - 'Jojo Rabbit'
5 - 'Ford v Ferrari'
5 - 'Little Women'
4 - 'Rocketman'
3 - 'Bombshell'
3 - 'Avengers: Endgame'
2 - 'Pain and Glory'
2 - 'Judy'
2 - 'Harriet'
2 - 'Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker'
2 - 'The Lion King'
2 - 'Frozen II'
1 - ...