Oscars 2018: nominations predictions

[radiojazzz]

ну и куда без. в этом году выпендрюсь ровно два раза (зато сильно!) - со Стулбаргом (а не Хаммером) в актерах второго плана и другой из новых песен Суфьяна (а не первой из новых песен Суфьяна) в песнях. в остальном все более-менее очевидно

2017 - 87/107 (81%)
2016 - 81/107 (76%)
2015 - 78/107 (73%)
2014 - 83/108 (77%)
2013 - 79/101 (78%)
2012 - 74/104 (71%)
2011 - 73/107 (68%)

UPDATE:
2018 - 84/107 (79%)


Best Picture
(7/9)

'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
'The Shape of Water'
'Dunkirk'
'Get Out'
'Lady Bird'
'Call Me by Your Name'
'The Post'
'I, Tonya'
'The Florida Project' (if 9)
'The Big Sick' (if 10)

Best Director
(4/5)

Guillermo del Toro, 'The Shape of Water'
Martin McDonagh, 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
Christopher Nolan, 'Dunkirk'
Greta Gerwig, 'Lady Bird'
Jordan Peele, 'Get Out'

Best Actor
(4/5)

Gary Oldman, 'Darkest Hour'
Timothée Chalamet, 'Call Me by Your Name'
Daniel Kaluuya, 'Get Out'
Daniel Day-Lewis, 'Phantom Thread'
James Franco, 'The Disaster Artist'

Best Actress
(5/5)

Frances McDormand, 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
Saoirse Ronan, 'Lady Bird'
Margot Robbie, 'I, Tonya'
Sally Hawkins, 'The Shape of Water'
Meryl Streep, 'The Post'

Best Supporting Actor
(4/5)

Sam Rockwell, 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
Willem Dafoe, 'The Florida Project'
Richard Jenkins, 'The Shape of Water'
Woody Harrelson, 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
Michael Stuhlbarg, 'Call Me by Your Name'

Best Supporting Actress
(4/5)

Allison Janney, 'I, Tonya'
Laurie Metcalf, 'Lady Bird'
Mary J. Blige, 'Mudbound'
Holly Hunter, 'The Big Sick'
Octavia Spencer, 'The Shape of Water'

Best Adapted Screenplay
(5/5)

'Call Me by Your Name'
'Molly's Game'
'Mudbound'
'The Disaster Artist'
'Logan'

Best Original Screenplay
(4/5)

'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
'Lady Bird'
'Get Out'
'I, Tonya'
'The Big Sick'

Best Cinematography
(5/5)

'Blade Runner 2049'
'Dunkirk'
'Darkest Hour'
'The Shape of Water'
'Mudbound'

Best Costume Design
(4/5)

'Phantom Thread'
'The Shape of Water'
'Beauty and the Beast'
'The Greatest Showman'
'Darkest Hour'

Best Film Editing
(4/5)

'Dunkirk'
'Get Out'
'Baby Driver'
'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
'The Shape of Water'

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
(1/3)

'Darkest Hour'
'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2'
'I, Tonya'

Best Original Score
(4/5)

'The Shape of Water'
'Phantom Thread'
'Dunkirk'
'The Post'
'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'

Best Original Song
(3/5)

'The Greatest Showman' ('This Is Me')
'Coco' ('Remember Me')
'Call Me by Your Name' ('Visions of Gideon')
'Beauty and the Beast' ('Evermore')
'Marshall' ('Stand Up for Something')

Best Production Design
(5/5)

'The Shape of Water'
'Blade Runner 2049'
'Beauty and the Beast'
'Darkest Hour'
'Dunkirk'

Best Sound Editing
(5/5)

'Dunkirk'
'Baby Driver'
'Blade Runner 2049'
'The Shape of Water'
'Star Wars: The Last Jedi'

Best Sound Mixing
(3/5)

'Dunkirk'
'Baby Driver'
'Blade Runner 2049'
'The Greatest Showman'
'Wonder Woman'

Best Visual Effects
(3/5)

'Blade Runner 2049'
'War for the Planet of the Apes'
'Dunkirk'
'Star Wars: The Last Jedi'
'The Shape of Water'

Best Animated Feature Film
(4/5)

'Coco'
'The Breadwinner'
'Loving Vincent'
'Ferdinand'
'Mary and the Witch's Flower'

Best Documentary Feature
(3/5)

'Jane'
'Icarus'
'City of Ghosts'
'Last Men in Aleppo'
'Faces Places'

Best Foreign Language Film
(3/5)

'In the Fade' (Germany)
'Loveless' (Russia)
'A Fantastic Woman' (Chile)
'Foxtrot' (Israel)
'The Square' (Sweden)

PREDICTED TALLY:

12 - 'The Shape of Water'
9 - 'Dunkirk'
8 - 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'
5 - 'Call Me by Your Name'
5 - 'Lady Bird'
5 - 'Get Out'
5 - 'I, Tonya'
5 - 'Darkest Hour'
5 - 'Blade Runner 2049'
3 - 'The Post'
3 - 'The Big Sick'
3 - 'Phantom Thread'
3 - 'The Disaster Artist'
3 - 'Mudbound'
3 - 'Baby Driver'
3 - 'Beauty and the Beast'
2 - 'The Florida Project'
2 - 'Coco'
2 - 'The Greatest Showman'
2 - 'Star Wars: The Last Jedi'
1 - ...