Techno-explosion is really hard to take seriously. There aren't any obvious solutions to energy output that fall into this category, not even fusion.
Techno-stability is bit like hoping everyone on the planet starts behaving reasonably. This means I can't help thinking that likely scenarios fall below this line.
Indeed, it's hard to see how - with typical USA, Canadian and UK lifestyles if extended to 7 billion humans currently using 3 - 5 times the resources which Earth can sustainably produce - we can carry on with 'business as usual'.
Oil is a remarkably energy dense and flexible 'fuel' (energy storage system) - sometimes called fossil sunlight. If we think about the long-term systems which went into converting sunlight into oil, it's hard to see how to replicate that quickly. Even where the technology seems feasible in theory, the political, logistic, commercial and other 'human' barriers seem insurmountable in the available time-frame.
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Techno-stability is bit like hoping everyone on the planet starts behaving reasonably. This means I can't help thinking that likely scenarios fall below this line.
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Oil is a remarkably energy dense and flexible 'fuel' (energy storage system) - sometimes called fossil sunlight. If we think about the long-term systems which went into converting sunlight into oil, it's hard to see how to replicate that quickly. Even where the technology seems feasible in theory, the political, logistic, commercial and other 'human' barriers seem insurmountable in the available time-frame.
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