But Bootstraps!! Socialism!!! Socialist Libural Utopia!!! Those Have to Count!!!!

The Stupidity and Hypocrisy of the Austerity Movement

There has been growing talk of the need to reign in reckless government spending. Regrettably, this talk is not based in any knowledge of economics or history.. Let me explain why.

A Brief History of the ( Read more... )

For UK Conservatives, It's The MP Ratio That MattersIn the UK electoral context a major concern is the relationship between the national popular vote share and the share of MPs that each party wins as a result. In particular, the former is what is polled regularly, while the second is what actually determines which party controls the House of ( Read more... )

You guys, Nate Silver is told to fuck off by some dickhead! :(

Nate Silver took it in stride though. You stay classy, John Ziegler!

Road to 270: Virginia


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Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight has been getting a bit testy lately, which I suspect is reflective of the types of e-mails he's been receiving recently.

Yesterday, he took the time to ease Obama supporters' fears surrounding Pennsylvania:

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So what's the state of the race today, with only 9 days of campaigning to go?

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Tracking Poll Primer by Nate SilverNow that there are fully eight distinct national tracking polls, I thought I'd take the time to give you my Cliff's Notes assessment of each one. The polls are arranged in the order in which they typically appear throughout the day -- as you may have discovered, you can get your tracking poll fix quite literally ( Read more... )

The Spreadsheet Psychic
Nate Silver is a number-crunching prodigy who went from correctly forecasting baseball games to correctly forecasting presidential primaries-and perhaps the election itself. Here’s how he built a better crystal ball.
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Real Credibility Problems


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