New Trailer for A Dangerous Method; Venice and Oscar Odds

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A Dangerous Method, David Cronenberg's erotic thriller starring Viggo Mortensen as Freud, Michael Fassbender as Jung and Keira Knightley as the disturbed patient who comes between them, is currently the 5/1 favourite with bookmaker Paddy Power to win this year's Golden Lion award at the Venice film festival.

Opening night gala The Ides of March trails with odds of 6/1, as does Tomas Alfredson's adaptation of John Le Carré's cold war thriller, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, and Shame, the new film from Steve McQueen, the British artist who won acclaim with his debut movie, Hunger.

Betting has also opened on those films vying for the Oscar for best film next February, with Steven Spielberg's War Horse the 5/2 favourite, ahead of Weinstein Company aquisition The Artist and Clint Eastwood's J Edgar (both at 4/1). Oprah Winfrey is the bookie's 6/1 favourite to host the ceremony.


The odds for this year's Golden Lion award winner at Venice
5/1 A Dangerous Method
6/1 Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
6/1 The Ides of March
7/1 Shame
8/1 Faust
10/1 Dark Horse
10/1 Seediq Bale
12/1 Carnage
16/1 Wuthering Heights
18/1 Terraferma
20/1 Texas Killing Fields
20/1 Killer Joe
20/1 Alps
20/1 Life Without Principle
25/1 When the Night
25/1 4:44 Last Day On Earth
25/1 A Simple Life
25/1 The Exchange
33/1 A Burning Hot Summer
33/1 The Last Earthling
33/1 Himizu
33/1 Chicken With Plums

The odds for next year's best picture Oscar winner
5/2 War Horse
4/1 The Artist
4/1 J Edgar
6/1 Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
6/1 The Ides of March
10/1 The Descendants
12/1 Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
12/1 The Tree of Life
16/1 The Help
16/1 Midnight in Paris
16/1 The Iron Lady
20/1 A Dangerous Method
20/1 My Week With Marilyn
25/1 Moneyball
25/1 Carnage
33/1 We Bought a Zoo
33/1 Like Crazy
33/1 Drive
33/1 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
33/1 We Need to Talk About Kevin
33/1 Young Adult
50/1 The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
50/1 Contagion

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I'm guessing this was written before Ides of March premiered to an overall "okay" reception, numerous people calling it a glorified episode of the West Wing..