A Barrel of Predictions

[level_head]

"A good politician must be able to predict, with absolute certainty, events a week, a month or a year from now … and afterwards be able to explain why they didn't happen." (attributed to Winston Churchill)On September 4th, oil had dropped from a high of about $148 per barrel to about $108. I predicted that, prior to the election, it would drop

Comments

[bburnell]

Way to go on the oil prediction. I wasn't sure what to think but I look to you a lot lately to ground me in these issues. I had the chance to take Economics or Political Science this term. I chose PolSci, but Economics is important too!

"Now we'll see if the political side comes to pass."
- I guess I missed that. What was your prediction?

[level_head]

Regarding what will happen after a McCain win. We shall see.

I'll risk a guarantee, now, that the results will be percentage points away from the polls. The question is, will it be enough?

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[witteafval]

When can we expect you to run for president?

[level_head]

I am honored by your kind thought -- but there is no chance of my pursuing political office. My history is ... too very strange.

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