We've done this before, you know the drill. "Will Win" is who I think will win the Oscar; "Should Win" is who I think should win (i.e., of the nominees, the one I'd vote for); "If This Wins, I'll Be Angry" is pretty self-explanatory1; and "Where's...?" is someone I think was gravely passed over.
Best Animated Feature:
Will Win: Cars
Should Win: Monster House
If This Wins, I'll Be Angry: Cars
Where's...?: Over the Hedge
Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Should Win: Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
If She Wins, I'll Be Angry: Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
Where's...?: Emily Watson, The Proposition
Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Should Win: Mark Wahlberg, The Departed (Edging out Alan Arkin for my vote.)
If He Wins, I'll Be Angry: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Where's...?: Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Best Actress:
Will Win: Helen Mirren, The Queen
Should Win: Penelope Cruz, Volver
If She Wins, I'll Be Angry: Kate Winslet, Little Children (But not too angry)
Where's...?: Toni Colette, Little Miss Sunshine
Best Actor:
Will Win: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
Should Win: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
If He Wins, I'll Be Angry: Peter O'Toole, Venus
Where's...?: Ken Watanabe, Letters From Iwo Jima
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: William Monahan, The Departed
Should Win: William Monahan, The Departed
If They Win, I'll Be Angry: Alfonso Cuarón & Timothy J. Sexton and David Arata and Mark Fergus & Hawk Ostby, Children of Men
Where's...?: Michael Mann, Miami Vice
Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: Michael Arndt, Little Miss Sunshine
Should Win: Michael Arndt, Little Miss Sunshine
If He Wins, I'll Be Angry: Guillermo Arriaga, Babel
Where's...?: Nick Cave, The Proposition
Best Director:
Will Win: Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Should Win: Martin Scorsese, The Departed
If He Wins, I'll Be Angry: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Babel
Where's...?: Alfonso Cuarón, Children of Men
Best Picture:
Will Win: The Departed
Should Win: The Departed
If This Wins, I'll Be Angry: Babel2
Where's...?: United 93
1When Crash won Best Picture last year after I named it my "Angry" pick, I threw--in public--what can only be described as a "temper tantrum".
2The above-mentioned temper tantrum, however, will be as the demurest flap of the most delicate of butterfly's wings compared to the HURRICANE OF FURY I will unleash if Babel wins this year. So be warned.