You may want to look at a book by Watts Humphrey called "Personal Software Process", which has pretty much nothing to do with software and a hell of a lot to do with estimating the time it takes to do things and determining your own statistical biases towards estimation and execution. It was the baseline plan for the Six Sigma for Software Developers courses I had to take once upon a time - you've heard of Six Sigma before . . .
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Thanks though, I'll look that book up.
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