He's far enough behind in all the Kerry blue states to guarantee those 252 EV go to Obama. IA (7) and CO (9) also look like locks. There's 268. It only takes one more red state, no matter how small, to put Obama over the top. He's polling over 50% in VA and FL, and ahead of McCain in all the other "old" tossups but MO, and very close in MT, NC, ND, and even red stalwart IN. It would be nothing short of miraculous for McCain to run the table. And if he doesn't, he has to take PA, where he trails by 7-10 points in the last polls.
Could it be close? Maybe. But it's much more likely to be an Obama blowout. RCP has him winning at least 278 comfortably and ahead in states totalling 338. My money is still on 384.
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I don't remember having chills in my stomach on November 1, 2004.
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And it's also because I'm a Virginian, and for my state to go blue would be...well, incredible.
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Beware the heartland. McCain ain't that far behind...
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Could it be close? Maybe. But it's much more likely to be an Obama blowout. RCP has him winning at least 278 comfortably and ahead in states totalling 338. My money is still on 384.
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eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
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