i love george will, part 53,239

[caspian_x]

Yes, it's a right-wing article written by an unabashedly conservative columnist, but since it bashes Hillary, I think almost all of us can enjoy the amusing words of Mr. Will.

One of my favorite parts:

After Tuesday's split decisions in Indiana and North Carolina, Clinton, the Yankee Clipperette, can, and hence eventually will, creatively argue

Comments

[clayfoot]

Playing with the Democratic delegate count:

Without any further super delegate changes, Clinton would need 86% of the remaining delegates to be ahead of Obama, at the convention. She still wouldn't have enough for the nomination, but that's what super delegates are for.

Without more super delegates, Obama would need to win 84% of the remaining primaries to win the nomination before the convention.

If Clinton got 70% of the remaining primaries and 70% of the remaining super delegates, she would be nominated; but if Obama got just 37% of the primary and super delegates, he would be nominated.

At 66% (to Clinton) of remaining primary and super delegates, the candidates are tied going into the convention; one super delegate vote either way decides the nomination.

More fun with numbers

[clayfoot]

Regardless of the outcome of the remaining primaries, if Obama could convince 67% of the remaining uncommitted super delegates, he would win the nomination.

Without more super delegates, Obama won't have enough until Puerto Rico on June 1st --and then only if he wins more than 85% of the primaries in between.