Jaguars predictions revisited
Well, now that the Jaguars' regular season is over, I'm going to repost my predictions from a blog I made August 22, before the jaguars' season had begun, and respond to how well my predictions went... check it, if you dont believe me.
Here are the original predictions:
Seatle- Jags win 14-10
@ Indianapolis- Jags win 17-14
@ NYJ- Jags win 17-14 OT
Denver- Broncos win 17-7
Cincinatti- Jags win 14-12 (I think Cin. may win, but I can't bring myself to pick the Bengles to win anything)
@ Pittsburgh- Steelers win 14-10
@ St. L- Jags win 24-7
Houston- Jags win 21-7
Baltimore- Jags win 14-13
@ Tenn- Jags win 24-10
@ Arizona- Jags win 21-3
@ Cleveland- Jags win 17-7
Indianapolis- Indianapolis wins 24-13
San Fran- Jags win 21-3 (HAHAHAHA, and I reitterate, HAHAHA)
@ Houston- Houstin wins 13-0 (I say, as I cry)
Tennessee- Jags win 14-7
Now, here are the actual results from the season:
Sea- Jags win 26-14
@ IND- Jags lose 3-10
@ NYJ- jags win 26-20 OT
Den- Jags lose 7-20
Cin- Jags win 23-20
@ Pit- Jags win 23-17
@STL- Jags lose 21-24
HOU- Jags win 21-14
BAL- Jags win 30-3
@ Ten- Jags win 31-28
@ Ari- Jags win 24-7
@CLE- Jags win 20-14
IND- Jags lose 18-26
SF- Jags win 10-9
@HOU- Jags win 38-20
TEN- Jags win 40-13
And now for the analysis of my predictions:
Just as I had predicted, the Jaguars ended the season 12-4. I predicted the overtime win in new york, and it happened... freaky! I was correct as to the winner of 12 of my predictions... making me 12-4, also...hmmmm
Out of the 16 games, I predicted the correct score, within one touchdown difference, in 7 of the 16 games, which isnt bad at all, in my opinion. Overall, as far as the prediction of the scores, I predicted the jags to win against all their oponents by a total of 248-175.
The actual overall score: 368- 259
Now, although my score predictions were very much on the low side, figure this proportionally. The scores tell of how good a team is compared to their opponents, so the jaguars were 70.38% better than their opponents. I predicted them to be... 70.56% better than their opponents. Not bad, in my opinion. So, even though the predicted scores were slightly skewed, they ended up being a good prediction of how good the jags would be compared to their opponents.. And all that matters in betting is how much they win by, not what the score was, so, my predictions worked out to be almost perfect for betting, if you were so inclined, although I do not condone betting...
Overall, I think I did a superb job of predicting the jaguars' season this year. It was a good year, and now the jaguars are in the playoffs, making me very happy. Well, thats all, just thought I'd assess the results of my predictions (predictions made before we knew anything about thejaguars season, or the flops and surprises of the NFL this year) I made these predictions solely on instinct, and on my own personal knowledge of NFL teams, based on the offseason, and past performances. Keep in mind that these predictions are very accurate, even if I were to make these predictions a week before the game each week, they would still be very accurate.
One thing that I did not account for in the offseason is the offensive explosion brought to the Jaguars by Carl Smith, the new offensive coordinator. They broke the 30 point barrier 4 times, something they had not done before this year, since 2000. That was unexpected. Also, the defense allowed more points overall than I expected. I expected the Houston Texans to be a better football team than they ended up being. Those all factored in to being the biggest mistakes I made this year in predictions.
Well, peace and love, people, and I hope you enjoyed this, although it was really for my own documentation, to prove that I know a little bit about predictions, and the NFL.
Here are the original predictions:
Seatle- Jags win 14-10
@ Indianapolis- Jags win 17-14
@ NYJ- Jags win 17-14 OT
Denver- Broncos win 17-7
Cincinatti- Jags win 14-12 (I think Cin. may win, but I can't bring myself to pick the Bengles to win anything)
@ Pittsburgh- Steelers win 14-10
@ St. L- Jags win 24-7
Houston- Jags win 21-7
Baltimore- Jags win 14-13
@ Tenn- Jags win 24-10
@ Arizona- Jags win 21-3
@ Cleveland- Jags win 17-7
Indianapolis- Indianapolis wins 24-13
San Fran- Jags win 21-3 (HAHAHAHA, and I reitterate, HAHAHA)
@ Houston- Houstin wins 13-0 (I say, as I cry)
Tennessee- Jags win 14-7
Now, here are the actual results from the season:
Sea- Jags win 26-14
@ IND- Jags lose 3-10
@ NYJ- jags win 26-20 OT
Den- Jags lose 7-20
Cin- Jags win 23-20
@ Pit- Jags win 23-17
@STL- Jags lose 21-24
HOU- Jags win 21-14
BAL- Jags win 30-3
@ Ten- Jags win 31-28
@ Ari- Jags win 24-7
@CLE- Jags win 20-14
IND- Jags lose 18-26
SF- Jags win 10-9
@HOU- Jags win 38-20
TEN- Jags win 40-13
And now for the analysis of my predictions:
Just as I had predicted, the Jaguars ended the season 12-4. I predicted the overtime win in new york, and it happened... freaky! I was correct as to the winner of 12 of my predictions... making me 12-4, also...hmmmm
Out of the 16 games, I predicted the correct score, within one touchdown difference, in 7 of the 16 games, which isnt bad at all, in my opinion. Overall, as far as the prediction of the scores, I predicted the jags to win against all their oponents by a total of 248-175.
The actual overall score: 368- 259
Now, although my score predictions were very much on the low side, figure this proportionally. The scores tell of how good a team is compared to their opponents, so the jaguars were 70.38% better than their opponents. I predicted them to be... 70.56% better than their opponents. Not bad, in my opinion. So, even though the predicted scores were slightly skewed, they ended up being a good prediction of how good the jags would be compared to their opponents.. And all that matters in betting is how much they win by, not what the score was, so, my predictions worked out to be almost perfect for betting, if you were so inclined, although I do not condone betting...
Overall, I think I did a superb job of predicting the jaguars' season this year. It was a good year, and now the jaguars are in the playoffs, making me very happy. Well, thats all, just thought I'd assess the results of my predictions (predictions made before we knew anything about thejaguars season, or the flops and surprises of the NFL this year) I made these predictions solely on instinct, and on my own personal knowledge of NFL teams, based on the offseason, and past performances. Keep in mind that these predictions are very accurate, even if I were to make these predictions a week before the game each week, they would still be very accurate.
One thing that I did not account for in the offseason is the offensive explosion brought to the Jaguars by Carl Smith, the new offensive coordinator. They broke the 30 point barrier 4 times, something they had not done before this year, since 2000. That was unexpected. Also, the defense allowed more points overall than I expected. I expected the Houston Texans to be a better football team than they ended up being. Those all factored in to being the biggest mistakes I made this year in predictions.
Well, peace and love, people, and I hope you enjoyed this, although it was really for my own documentation, to prove that I know a little bit about predictions, and the NFL.