This article on Long Covid is not data yet. Not good data, anyway. But there's some data in it, and that data is bad.

Not on continuing cases. We'll find out shortly if we're going to augur down like so many other places, and I think we will, and big surges will be basically over by March, barring a more substantially new variant that genuinely ( Read more... )

New paper in The Lancet. Read it.

My takeaway of interest: detection rate is down to 5% of cases worldwide. That's an absolutely dramatic decline. You get slightly higher with semi-aggressive testing, but to get legitimately higher, you really have to work at it. A few places are, most places aren't, but let's put speculation to the side as one ( Read more... )

I've been writing on and off for a long time about how we need to start talking less about COVID deaths and talk more about the long-term effects of COVID on survivors. I'm not alone in that, but I was fairly early out the gate.

The reason I've been talking about this is because neither fascists nor fundamentalists give a fuck about theoretical ( Read more... )

hooooooooly fuck EXTREMELY GOOD COVID NEWS holy fuck
Chise - @sailorrooscout · 11:55 AM · Jan 17, 2022
Does COVID-19 vaccination have a protective effect against Long COVID? Answer: YES.

“Vaccination with at least two doses of COVID-19 vaccine was associated with a substantial decrease in reporting the most common post-acute COVID-19 symptoms, ( Read more... )

This is California, not Washington State, but in the context of yesterday's post on r0<<1, I give you:

California hospitals predict COVID crisis will last until the end of February
Also posted to ソ-ラ-バ-ド-のおん;
( Read more... )

This is an insurance statistics type of calculation, not an epidemiologist type of calculation. All my original science has been genetics and computer science, not virology or epidemiology, and I'm not a source for either here. This is accounting maths, not biology. But given that... it's still a path to r0<<1.

All data Washington State. All ( Read more... )

Let's talk about what I have been thinking of as the Goldilocks scenario, but which I've revised recently to the Get Lucky scenario...

...for COVID-19.

A Goldilocks scenario for COVID would be a variant that is both incredibly contagious but functionally harmless. Something that you don't even notice you have, basically all the time. Someone that ( Read more... )

This is a video of a man detailing how he personally interacted with Instagram user AntiVaxMama. She was selling forged vaccination cards that included entry into actual vaccination databases.

He pretended to be a Florida pharmacist, responding to her actively seeking additional pharmacists to work with who were willing to enter fake vaccinations ( Read more... )

I'm de-referencing this by one because it's too disgusting. Here's a link to my Twitter link. You'll have to click twice.

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A bunch of anti-vaxxers in the ivermectin Facebook group are reporting defecating "rope worms" when taking the livestock dewormer ivermectin. They think this is good, like they actually have some parasite or other.

But "rope ( Read more... )

What I didn't say last night - but should've - is that this is how they make things culturally multigenerational, and there are enough of them to wreck public health for generations, particularly if it spreads to other vaccines.

If they decide that's all worth it, if the "my country or no country" philosophy they already have extends completely to ( Read more... )