Predictions for 2006
A couple of months ago I read something I wrote in December 2003, about my impressions of what the coming year, and following that would bring. I re-read it and found myself startlingly accurate. Very exciting. So, here we are. I didn't do one for 2005. I usually write this late into the last day of the year, but it's almost New Year's somewhere. Here we go...
I'm going to attempt to do this thematically, and at least chronologically, and fail in both, should be fun.
On January 23, 2006 Canadians will vote, barely, and the percentage of eligible voters who voted will slip below 60%. The Liberals will take a beating in Quebec, and out West, but essentially hold their ground in Ontario. Ontario will probably have a dozen seats change hands, probably two more NDP, and ten more Conservatives. BC will state nearly the same, confounding pundits, but the NDP will pick up one or two. The Conservatives will sweep, or all but sweep Alberta, Saskatchewan may see more NDP or CP in the face of anger against the Liberals, same for Manitoba. Nothing will change out East I figure.
The result being a compromised Liberal Government, and not enough NDP to support them, expect election talk again by next summer-autumn or sooner.
The Seahawks win the Superbowl.
When Hurricane Season returns the original outcry is "WILL IT BE AS BAD AS LAST YEAR!!!" and after it is slightly better we tell the media, collectively to shove it up their asses.
George Bush's Presidency will keep taking in on the chin until about late spring, when there's so much out, they can't talk about it anymore. The quiet summer leads to a brutal November '06 Congressional Election, the Democrats however will be unable to elicit a response, and unable to make the American people realize the graveness of the actions currently being taken, and will be long forgotten by the time they hit the ballot box, only electing (under 10) more Democrats to Congress.
Oil prices will continue to rise, and there's nothing to be done about it. No viable solution will be found in the short term.
By late 2006 or Early 2007 Iran (Islamic Republic of,) will declare their nuclear capability. Israel will begin a major military build-up. This could lead to a Middle Eastern Cold War. Fun, Fun.
Iraq will likely reach a point or manageable chaos. The Americans will be almost completely out by 2008, likely using the Murtha Plan of Redeployment, and not pull-out. Results will be an unstable Iraqi Parliament embattles itself against a homegrown insurrency for years to come with American backing. For further information see History of South Vietnam (1954-1960).
Afghanistan, if possible, will slip further out of our minds and again Afghanistan will become that poor forgotten area of the world.
France's domestic "Muslim" problem is not over. Expect to see something about it coming around again next year as France's programs are deemed failures. Expect another terrorist attack on par roughly with the London Bombings somewhere else. My bet says Italy.
China's economic growth will continue to dominate the world, and likely start having serious ramifications around the world, in terms of job losses, and shifts in power, and investment. Speaking of which, problems associated with large populations will start being felt worldwide. Africa will get indescriminantly poorer, and nothing will be done to reverse the damage.
HAPPY NEW YEAR'S!
I'm going to attempt to do this thematically, and at least chronologically, and fail in both, should be fun.
On January 23, 2006 Canadians will vote, barely, and the percentage of eligible voters who voted will slip below 60%. The Liberals will take a beating in Quebec, and out West, but essentially hold their ground in Ontario. Ontario will probably have a dozen seats change hands, probably two more NDP, and ten more Conservatives. BC will state nearly the same, confounding pundits, but the NDP will pick up one or two. The Conservatives will sweep, or all but sweep Alberta, Saskatchewan may see more NDP or CP in the face of anger against the Liberals, same for Manitoba. Nothing will change out East I figure.
The result being a compromised Liberal Government, and not enough NDP to support them, expect election talk again by next summer-autumn or sooner.
The Seahawks win the Superbowl.
When Hurricane Season returns the original outcry is "WILL IT BE AS BAD AS LAST YEAR!!!" and after it is slightly better we tell the media, collectively to shove it up their asses.
George Bush's Presidency will keep taking in on the chin until about late spring, when there's so much out, they can't talk about it anymore. The quiet summer leads to a brutal November '06 Congressional Election, the Democrats however will be unable to elicit a response, and unable to make the American people realize the graveness of the actions currently being taken, and will be long forgotten by the time they hit the ballot box, only electing (under 10) more Democrats to Congress.
Oil prices will continue to rise, and there's nothing to be done about it. No viable solution will be found in the short term.
By late 2006 or Early 2007 Iran (Islamic Republic of,) will declare their nuclear capability. Israel will begin a major military build-up. This could lead to a Middle Eastern Cold War. Fun, Fun.
Iraq will likely reach a point or manageable chaos. The Americans will be almost completely out by 2008, likely using the Murtha Plan of Redeployment, and not pull-out. Results will be an unstable Iraqi Parliament embattles itself against a homegrown insurrency for years to come with American backing. For further information see History of South Vietnam (1954-1960).
Afghanistan, if possible, will slip further out of our minds and again Afghanistan will become that poor forgotten area of the world.
France's domestic "Muslim" problem is not over. Expect to see something about it coming around again next year as France's programs are deemed failures. Expect another terrorist attack on par roughly with the London Bombings somewhere else. My bet says Italy.
China's economic growth will continue to dominate the world, and likely start having serious ramifications around the world, in terms of job losses, and shifts in power, and investment. Speaking of which, problems associated with large populations will start being felt worldwide. Africa will get indescriminantly poorer, and nothing will be done to reverse the damage.
HAPPY NEW YEAR'S!