Time for the obligatory Handicapping of the Hugos
Best Novel
What should win: No award
What will win: 2312 by Kim Stanley Robinson
This was, without a doubt, the worst fiction category on the ballot this year.
Best Novella
What should win: On a Red Station, Drifting by Aliette de Bodard
What will win: San Diego 2014: The Last Stand of the California Browncoats, Mira Grant
I had a bit of trouble picking who I thought would win for this - there's been a lot of good talk for Sanderson (and it does go down easy) and Lake has the sympathy vote locked up as this is his last chance to accept a Hugo in person. In the end, I decided that this was the category that Grant's army would be able to divide and conquer.
Novelette:
What should win: “The Girl-Thing Who Went Out for Sushi” by Pat Cadigan
What will win: “Fade To White” by Catherynne M. Valente
Short story:
What should win - "Immersion” by Aliette de Bodard
What will win - "Immersion” by Aliette de Bodard
Best Dramatic Presentation, Long Form
What should win: I've seen four of five (missing the Avengers) and I don't care.
What will win: The Avengers, Screenplay & Directed by Joss Whedon
Best Dramatic Presentation, Short Form
What should win: Fringe, “Letters of Transit”
What will win: Something Doctor Who, probably Angels Take Manhattan.
The John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer (not a Hugo)
Who should win: Zen Cho
Who will win: Zen Cho
Why Zen Cho you ask? I give you this and this and this. You're welcome.
Every other category: either I think the category should be abolished, haven't enough information to form an opinion or just don't care so I'm not going to offer any handicapping.
What should win: No award
What will win: 2312 by Kim Stanley Robinson
This was, without a doubt, the worst fiction category on the ballot this year.
Best Novella
What should win: On a Red Station, Drifting by Aliette de Bodard
What will win: San Diego 2014: The Last Stand of the California Browncoats, Mira Grant
I had a bit of trouble picking who I thought would win for this - there's been a lot of good talk for Sanderson (and it does go down easy) and Lake has the sympathy vote locked up as this is his last chance to accept a Hugo in person. In the end, I decided that this was the category that Grant's army would be able to divide and conquer.
Novelette:
What should win: “The Girl-Thing Who Went Out for Sushi” by Pat Cadigan
What will win: “Fade To White” by Catherynne M. Valente
Short story:
What should win - "Immersion” by Aliette de Bodard
What will win - "Immersion” by Aliette de Bodard
Best Dramatic Presentation, Long Form
What should win: I've seen four of five (missing the Avengers) and I don't care.
What will win: The Avengers, Screenplay & Directed by Joss Whedon
Best Dramatic Presentation, Short Form
What should win: Fringe, “Letters of Transit”
What will win: Something Doctor Who, probably Angels Take Manhattan.
The John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer (not a Hugo)
Who should win: Zen Cho
Who will win: Zen Cho
Why Zen Cho you ask? I give you this and this and this. You're welcome.
Every other category: either I think the category should be abolished, haven't enough information to form an opinion or just don't care so I'm not going to offer any handicapping.