New Hampshire early results
10% in. Remember, most of these results from small villages and the countryside.
Hillary, surprisingly in a narrow but significant lead (just over 2%) ahead of Obama. This might well reverse when the big towns come in. Remember, Obama's lead grew and grew as the night went on in Iowa and the bigger towns came in. The operative word is might. This will be fun.
McCain in the high 30s% and with a ~10% lead over Romney. I'd expect this pattern to hold, but there is virtually nothing in from southern NH, near the Massachussets border, and this might erode McCain's lead when it comes in, although I'd doubt it will reverse it.
Hillary, surprisingly in a narrow but significant lead (just over 2%) ahead of Obama. This might well reverse when the big towns come in. Remember, Obama's lead grew and grew as the night went on in Iowa and the bigger towns came in. The operative word is might. This will be fun.
McCain in the high 30s% and with a ~10% lead over Romney. I'd expect this pattern to hold, but there is virtually nothing in from southern NH, near the Massachussets border, and this might erode McCain's lead when it comes in, although I'd doubt it will reverse it.