More Predictions
Not exactly a tough call: Obama, Clinton, Edwards, Richardson, in that order. If Richardson gets less than 5%, I expect him to drop out, and at some point endorse Obama, as will Dodd and Biden. Both Clinton and Edwards will stay in, at least until South Carolina for Edwards, and Feb. 5 for Clinton.
The Republican race is more fluid. McCain and Obama are competing for the same group of independent voters, most of whom are going to Obama. However, the good weather in New Hampshire will help ensure large turnout, which will help McCain overcome Romney. Giuliani and Huckabee will scuffle for third, with Huckabee narrowly beating the former mayor. Ron Paul comes in fifth, but with a stronger showing than the polls have shown.
In my view, two of the four eventual nominees are now clear: Obama will be the Democrat's Presidential candidate, and Huckabee will be the Republican's Vice-Presidential candidate.
The Republican race is more fluid. McCain and Obama are competing for the same group of independent voters, most of whom are going to Obama. However, the good weather in New Hampshire will help ensure large turnout, which will help McCain overcome Romney. Giuliani and Huckabee will scuffle for third, with Huckabee narrowly beating the former mayor. Ron Paul comes in fifth, but with a stronger showing than the polls have shown.
In my view, two of the four eventual nominees are now clear: Obama will be the Democrat's Presidential candidate, and Huckabee will be the Republican's Vice-Presidential candidate.