Electoral Map October 10
Another week, another map.
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Changes: There's more blue now than before. McCain made gains in Minnesota, but Obama made them in Colorado, Montana (?), New Hampshire, North Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia (?!).
The states that are now deep blue or medium blue (states where Obama leads by 5% or more) now total 286 electoral votes, more than enough to win. Add in those where he's leading only slightly and you get 353 electoral votes. Fivethirtyeight.com now thinks that there's about a 1-in-3 chance of a landslide (375+ electoral votes) for Obama.
One thing I've been noticing througout is the intensity of most of the color map. Thirty-seven states and D.C. (73% of the total), representing 379 electoral votes (70% of the total) are either deep blue or bright red -- that is, one candidate or the other leads by at least 9%. And while most of color change has been in Obama's favor, many of the states that are already bright red are getting more lopsided for McCain, and the states that are already deep blue are getting more lopsided for Obama. We are a deeply divided country.
***
Changes: There's more blue now than before. McCain made gains in Minnesota, but Obama made them in Colorado, Montana (?), New Hampshire, North Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia (?!).
The states that are now deep blue or medium blue (states where Obama leads by 5% or more) now total 286 electoral votes, more than enough to win. Add in those where he's leading only slightly and you get 353 electoral votes. Fivethirtyeight.com now thinks that there's about a 1-in-3 chance of a landslide (375+ electoral votes) for Obama.
One thing I've been noticing througout is the intensity of most of the color map. Thirty-seven states and D.C. (73% of the total), representing 379 electoral votes (70% of the total) are either deep blue or bright red -- that is, one candidate or the other leads by at least 9%. And while most of color change has been in Obama's favor, many of the states that are already bright red are getting more lopsided for McCain, and the states that are already deep blue are getting more lopsided for Obama. We are a deeply divided country.