Oscar 2024 Predictions & Statitistics

[trekkiepetrelli]

Oscar Predictions: First Look at Possible Winners After Nominations https://t.co/320ujaJgmu
- Variety (@Variety) January 24, 2024
The nominations for the 96th Academy Awards were announced on Tuesday, with Christopher Nolan's biopic 'Oppenheimer' leading the way with a total of 13 nominations. It could possibly be one of the most dominant Oscar

Comments

[para1]

Lily Gladstone has already made history by becoming the first Native American nominee ever, in the Lead Actress category (how depressing is that?).#

Wasn't Yalitza Aparico the first? Unless you mean with American US-American?

Lily Gladstone... is also nominated for Best Actress at the BAFTA's

No, she isn't.

Alexander Payne is not the favorite for Adapted Screenplay. It's Triet who got a Best Director nom over Payne and who they can't reward in Best International Film. Triet also got a Best Director nomination at the BAFTAs and in light of the Oscar nominations, people think she might have the number 2 vote getter after Nolan. (three directors at the BAFTA's are jury picks and with Payne and Cooper missing at the Oscars, chances of them being number two in Britain and then not getting into a top five in America would be weird. Glazer's film didn't make Best Film which would be weird for the number 2.) So there is passion for Triet in Directing. But director has already engraved Nolan's name on that statue so that passion might translate into giving her a consolation prize.

The Boy & the Heron is the frontrunner in aninmated. The same Academy that gives John Williams and Diane Warren nominations for not being dead or retired yet, might do the same for Miyazaki. Meanwhile Spider-Man is the first half of a film duology. Still plenty of time to reward the second part.

I am really rooting Zone of Interest in Sound.

[deja_vu822]

I think "first" is referring to Northern Native American but I'm pretty sure I just read a statement from Lily saying she isn't the first regardless, that the young actress in Whale Riders was.

[dadom88]

She actually is the first Native American nominee if we're using modern borders. Chief Dan George was nominated in 1970, but he is First Nation Canadian, and Yalitza Aparicio was nominated in 2018, but she is indigenous Mexican.

I think you might be confused re Whale Rider, as Keisha Castle-Hughes is Maori (New Zealand).

[deja_vu822]

ooooh got it, i see. yeah, i saw this pull quote of something she said and got confused by her referring to Keisha as the "first indigenous actress" - https://www.instagram.com/p/C2e0xczrt9C/

[yeezy]

But director has already engraved Nolan's name

people keep saying this, but the academy does not like nolan and until he wins the guild or the bafta i wouldn't be so sure, the only major award he's won is the gg and no one that votes for the gg votes for the oscars, plenty of directors have won the gg and even the bafta and then gone to lose the oscar, the dga is still the most sure to predict the winner

[croakvegas]

If The Zone of Interest doesn't win Sound it's a travesty, the impact it had on shaping the film's entire feel was immense