Oscar Predictions

Mar 05, 2006 11:51

Picture:
I'm taking a risk on this one and saying it's going to be Crash. If I'm wrong, it will definitely be Brokeback.
Director:
I think Paul Haggis or George Clooney should win (Good Night and Good Luck is probably going to be completely trampled this year, which is a really big shame) BUT it looks like Ang Lee will take the cake with this one.
Actor:
Although Heath got a bunch of acclaim for his role in Brokeback, I think (and hope) the Oscar goes to Phillip Seymour Hoffman for his brilliant portrayal of Truman Capote. Unlike Heath, we could actually hear his lines...(don't get me wrong though, I am a huge Heath fan...ooh baby).
Actress:
I just want to say, first of all, that I think it's ridiculous that Keira Knightley was even nominated. I mean, come on. It's like they ran out of leading ladies and picked her because that was the only other movie they could think of...in that case, you could've frickin' nominated Emma Watson for HP 4. Psh. Anyway, I think Reese will win this one, even though Felicity Huffman's less-seen work as a transgendered man deserves applause. Also, everyone should see Mrs. Henderson Presents. It's cute.
Supporting Actor:
I think it should go to Matt Dillon, honestly. He was awesome. BUT, the Oscars are always about politics and it looks like the SAG awards will be followed by the Oscars to reward Paul Giamatti for his miniscule part in Cinderella Man since they buffed him last time in Sideways.
Supporting Actress:
All the women in this category did great work in their films, and I think it's a huge testiment to Catherine Keener's versatility that she can be in 40-year-old virgin and then play Harper Lee in Capote. France McDormand is always fabulous, Amy Adams I know nothing about actually, and I thought Michelle Williams did a very good job in Brokeback. In this category, though, I think it'll be Rachel Weisz for the Constant Gardener.
Adapted Screenplay:
I don't know much about this category, soo I'll go with the buzz on this one: Brokeback Mountain, from the story by Annie Proulx.
Original Screenplay:
Crash, hands down. Even though, again, Good Night is getting looked over for basically everything.
Animated Film:
It's definitely a tough race this year with Burton and then Howl's Moving Castle (I heard it was good) but Wallace & Gromit and the Curse of the Were-Rabbit is basically the best thing ever, and is probably on my list of like...top 20 favorite movies ever. SO it better win. :o)
Documentary:
Also a close race. March of the Penguins, of course, was cute but I wonder how the liberal Hollywood-ites will respond to the twist the Christian right put on the film (note: the documentarians did NOT intend for it to in any way represent family values...they just wanted to make a film about penguins!) I never saw Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room but heard it was good...I really want Murderball to be the dark horse of this race, though, it was a great documentary and if you haven't seen it, you should.
Foreign Language Film:
Guess here: Tsotsi, South Africa.
Art Direction:
I think Memoirs of a Geisha deserves this one. It was BEYOOTEEFUL.
Cinematography:
Another guess...Batman Begins
Sound Mixing: King Kong
Original Score: Pride & Prejudice
Original Song: "It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp," Hustle & Flow.
Costume: This one's actually a tough race, too...I'm gonna give it to Charlie & the Chocolate Factory, if only because it's not period and thus the costume designers can have more creativity with it...
Short Subject Documentary: God Sleeps in Rwanda
Film Editing: Crash
Makeup: The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch, and the Wardrobe
Animated Short Film: Only becuase I like the title...The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello
Live Action Short Film: Six Shooter
Visual Effects: King Kong.
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