The formation of WWIII and how much your personal wish not to die in it won't matter

Jan 22, 2023 07:14

...Is there something meaningful to say during these days where the events of today also progress on their way tomorrow? Unimpressed and not impacted by personal opinions of anyone outside of circles of power and public influence ( Read more... )

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Comments 4

kanzeon_2040 January 22 2023, 12:03:00 UTC

I generally agree with this post. I remember writing about a previous Ukraine funding bill in the US Congress that I would've voted to abstain; so I'm definitely not supporting NATO involvement in the war, but I am sympathetic to the Ukrainian people for having to live through this escalation of violence, so I feel torn and sit on the virtual sidelines wishing both sides would hold discussions to halt the war. It appears I'm joined by 73 countries who voted to abstain on the latest UN resolution regarding the conflict.

Does this qualify as a "world war" or if not do I think it will escalate into one?

Has me thinking of my criteria for the term. What would count as WWIII? Many people have equated WWIII with a nuclear exchange, but there's no way of knowing whether a declared war between Russia and the US would involve any nukes, and a limited nuclear exchange need not involve the rest of the world.

Do we even bother to "declare" war anymore?

"A world war is an international conflict which involves all or most of the world's major ( ... )

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matrixmann January 22 2023, 16:04:11 UTC
"A world war is an international conflict which involves all or most of the world's major powers." Says Wikipedia.What about these ( ... )

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kanzeon_2040 January 24 2023, 13:15:36 UTC

I agree that the US has its fingers in a great many pies around the world, and that the US has plainly overextended itself, whereas China is rising and other regional powers are chomping at the bit. My number one statistic for our overextension is that our gigantic budget deficit is even larger than our gigantic military budget - we're putting our entire global dominance on the credit card!

As for whether/when this will break out into general global hostilities ... I have no idea, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happened during this decade. Up through 2016 the US had a bipartisan pro-China approach to our foreign and trade policies. We've reversed and now have a bipartisan anti-China approach. This increases the chances of conflict. The tighter we draw the noose around China, the more likely she will lash out in violence, as happened with Japan in 1941 after we imposed an oil embargo.

And we may yet see the Ukraine war spill into other countries who have zero love for Russian annexation, because they've experienced it directly ( ... )

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matrixmann January 24 2023, 14:12:48 UTC
By all of this coming together, I also don't expect the ignition to the big conflict to lie that much ahead in the future anymore.
You know, even those things that came together in the last couple of years weren't foreseeable and it appears like a "spinning up the tempo" of world events/history.
So... it becomes harder to tell, realistically, what might happen in the coming few foreseeable years and which drastric events may also kick in that come literally out of nowhere - events which weren't on anyone's tab, but prove to be very altering to the then current state of things.

I think what you Western folks need to come down from is this old myth of Russia being obsessed with devouring its neighboring countries just because they once were "part of it/part of its sphere of influence". This way of thinking is as primitive as it's emotional ( ... )

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