From a
2017 study:
"UCS defines flooding that occurs 26 times per year (on average, once every other week) or more as “chronic inundation.” UCS deems as “chronically inundated” any coastal community that experiences this frequency of flooding over 10 percent or more of its land area, excluding wetlands and areas protected by federal levees. "
(intermediate scenario assumes that heat-trapping emissions continue to grow through the
middle of this century then decline slowly thereafter; high scenario is where we are currently, with increasing emissions of 1-2%/yr)
"• By 2100 in the intermediate scenario, nearly 490 communities will face chronic inundation, including more than 40 percent of all oceanfront communities on the East and Gulf Coasts.
• In the high scenario, about 670 communities will face chronic inundation, including nearly 60 percent of all oceanfront communities on the East and Gulf Coasts.
• In both scenarios, nearly 30 percent of affected communities will see three-quarters or more of their presently usable land area become limited-use, chronic inundation zones.
• In the high scenario, more than 50 populous cities experience chronic inundation, including Boston, Newark, Fort Lauderdale, Oakland, and four boroughs of New York City."
"Climate change is known to pose risks to low-income communities, communities of color, and other traditionally underserved communities-risks more severe than those faced by wealthier, often whiter communities, especially in urban settings (Deas et al. 2017; Graham, Debucquoy, and Anguelovski 2016). This analysis shows that many communities that face chronic inundation may do so without the resources or capacity to respond."
Originally posted to Dreamwidth, were there are
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