(no subject)
can somebody help me out?
the guy who sits next to me at work came in talking about the probability of picking all 64 games correct in the NCAA tournament because he'd heard some number on the radio this morning, and how incredibly small it is. he's sitting next to me trying to figure out how you'd come up with that number, and asks me if i know, since i'm a math major. i tell him that probability was always a weak spot for me (which is true) but that my guess was that 32 games in the first round have 2^32 possible outcomes, and 16 games in the second round have 2^16 possible outcomes and that's as far as i get before he cuts me off and tells me i'm wrong, and that he's really concerned with people getting degrees these days and not knowing their shit.
now, i am perfectly willing to believe that i'm wrong. probability really was a weak spot for me, dispite the fact that it was covered in about 4 classes i took in college. however, he doesn't know the right answer, and i still feel like mine might be right (1 in 2^64). i did about two minutes of googling for the answer but didn't see anything.
so, could anyone with better probability or google skills point me to the correct answer?
the guy who sits next to me at work came in talking about the probability of picking all 64 games correct in the NCAA tournament because he'd heard some number on the radio this morning, and how incredibly small it is. he's sitting next to me trying to figure out how you'd come up with that number, and asks me if i know, since i'm a math major. i tell him that probability was always a weak spot for me (which is true) but that my guess was that 32 games in the first round have 2^32 possible outcomes, and 16 games in the second round have 2^16 possible outcomes and that's as far as i get before he cuts me off and tells me i'm wrong, and that he's really concerned with people getting degrees these days and not knowing their shit.
now, i am perfectly willing to believe that i'm wrong. probability really was a weak spot for me, dispite the fact that it was covered in about 4 classes i took in college. however, he doesn't know the right answer, and i still feel like mine might be right (1 in 2^64). i did about two minutes of googling for the answer but didn't see anything.
so, could anyone with better probability or google skills point me to the correct answer?