Jul 07, 2012 19:26
For whatever reason, Daily Kos doesn't seem to be publishing its weekly summary of national polling any more, as it has on Saturdays prior to last week. I used Real Clear Politics data last week, but this week they seem to be missing two polls (which I found by obsessively reviewing the Daily Kos daily polling summaries for the last week). So today's average will be a hybrid between the tracking polls for today being reported on RCP and all the other polls that were reported this week, just not necessarily by RCP. There are only five polls for the average: Gallup tracking, Rasmussen tracking, YouGov, PPP, and CNN.
Obama : 47.2%
Romney: 44.8%
This week's and previous week's data:
Obama : 47.2% 46.8 47.4 46.0 46.7 46.3% 46.7 44.3 46.7 47.4 47.3 46.8
Romney: 44.8% 43.7 44.7 44.1 43.6 45.5% 44.3 44.4 44.3 45.0 44.3 44.3
Intrade latest weekly history:
Obama: 56% 56% 54% 53%
Romney: 41% 42% 42% 42%
FiveThirtyEight probabilities:
Obama: 67% 68% 63%
Romney: 33% 32% 37%
Best news for Obama: The unemployment rate didn't go up.
Best news for Romney: The unemployment rate didn't go down.
romney,
unemployment,
intrade,
2012 election,
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