Jun 26, 2010 15:52
The Big Short, by Michael Lewis
This is Michael Lewis's take on the recent crisis in the financial and housing markets. There were a few people who saw the crisis coming, and The Big Short centers on their stories. For some reason the people he chronicles are highly unusual characters: That's presumably partially because they're more interesting to describe, but more because anyone willing to bet that Wall Street has collectively lost its mind must be out-of-the-ordinary.
Two examples that particularly stuck in my mind are Cornwall Capital, and also Dr. Mike Burry. Cornwall Capital started out as two guys in a Berkeley garage with $110,000. They wound up with a strategy involving options: Find things that are 10-1 long shots, but priced as if they're 100-1. They were lucky enough to be right three times in a row, giving them enough capital to matter. Dr. Burry was an even less likely investor. As a medical intern, he started blogging about investments in his free time (medical interns essentially don't have free time). At some point he decided to start a hedge fund instead of being a doctor, and did so successfully.
Much of the story details how the securitization ecosystem worked, with all the pieces from the originate-and-sell lenders, the investment banks, the insurers (AIG), the largely-duped rating agencies, and the final buyers of the destined-to-collapse CDOs. There are a number of lessons to be learned there, including that Wall street is neither as efficient or as simple as it looks.
Highly recommended
books,
econ