Comments | fivebyfive: IT'S THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR...

fivebyfive

IT'S THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR...

Feb 25, 2007 12:29

*

As promised, my predictions...

Best animated feature film of the year

CARS
HAPPY FEET
MONSTER HOUSE

Should Win: The only one I saw was Monster House, which was good, so let's go with that.

Will Win: Pixar does it again. Cars.

Achievement in art directionDREAMGIRLS ( Read more... )

Comments 7

joekest February 26 2007, 01:02:30 UTC

I very much appreciate the fact that you care enough to address all of the categories. Your no-nonsense comments and appraisals are, as usual, much better that most of the dreck that is tossed around by supposed experts. I would have enjoyed watching you debate with Siskel and Ebert at their best (and I mean that as a compliment).

Sometime you will have to go into a more detailed evaluation of the screenplay categories.

fivebyfive February 26 2007, 02:11:57 UTC

You can get a sense of a film's screenplay from watching the movie, but to really go into detail I'd probably have to read them all. I have scripts of most of this year's nominated films, but haven't had the chance to flip through them.

I think I would be scared to challenge any of Ebert's opinions face-to-face. :) But I would enjoy the experience.

foxyfyzx February 26 2007, 05:10:41 UTC

Great job on all your predictions, so accurate and well analyzed :)

fivebyfive February 26 2007, 05:21:21 UTC

For the last three years in a row I have won Oscar pools. I doubt I will have won any this year. My predictions sucked. :) But it's still fun!

kuhn February 26 2007, 20:10:46 UTC

I did not read this post until after the Oscars and cannot believe you predicted a chance for Arkin to upset. I am quite impressed. Though I would have preferred for anyone else to win besides him.

fivebyfive February 27 2007, 22:06:03 UTC

I look at the trades and Entertainment Weekly throughout the season to get ideas of what the odds are for everything. I deviate from what they think on a few things, but on most awards there is a consensus (Whitaker, Mirren, Hudson...). I believe Norbit was released recently to capitalize on Eddie Murphy's "comeback," but it backfired because everyone was all excited that Eddie Murphy did something of quality, and then they saw him go back immediately to starring in shit nobody likes. Had Norbit not been released yet, I think he would have won. I don't exactly now I pick up on these things, maybe just from reading, but I can feel the "mood" of people's attitudes toward what will and won't win. A month ago around the Golden Globes there was a lot of buzz for The Queen and it had a stronger shot for Best Picture, but somehow it cooled and everything got focused back on Mirren. Same with Babel. There was a shift toward The Departed even though, a month or two back, it wasn't considered a sure thing. Somehow, by the time the ( ... )

fivebyfive February 27 2007, 22:10:57 UTC

P.S.

The only two awards that truly surprised me were Animated Feature and Best Song. I knew there was a chance that Pan's Labyrinth might not get Best Foreign because it got attention elsewhere and the point of that category is to award great movies that aren't getting major recognition, and I had sensed an Eddie backlash. But Happy Feet really came as a shock since, from what I hear, the other two movies are much better, and of course it seemed like Dreamgirls would get Best Song. There's always a risk that three nominations can cancel each other out, but neither of the other songs seemed high profile enough to worry to worry about. Who had even heard those songs? I guess Hollywood is even greener than I thought.