Nov 05, 2012 16:53
Every election I watch as Rasmussen and Gallup post polls favorable to Republicans and every election I watch them revise their polls right before election day so they can claim they are accurate. I didn't see how Gallup could do that this year because of how far off they have been, but they did. They showed a 4point shift for Obama this weekend. No other polls have show any or very little shift. Gallup just wants to claim they are accurate when they have been off by 4-5 points the entire election. Rasmussen just moved theirs 2pts to a tie showing a 2pt shift for Obama. I knew they would do this and have been telling all my Republican friends to look for this shift. I just got a call from one of them saying he had just noticed the shift and wanted to give me the opportunity to say "I told you so." So I did. It's really looking good right now. My prediction is Obama by 2pts nationally with 294 electorial votes and 54 Senate seats. I don't know about the house, but my gut tells me we will still have a Republican house by 10-20 members.
gallup,
election predictions,
rasmussen,
republican leaning