Math time.

[kagerou_da_ne]

Assuming:

Y = [t + 2I + A+ 2(SI + 2SA)]/400 300

and

X = 100% - YI would say my probability of returning to my home world within the next month would be between 65% and 75%. However, the short time I have been in camp is skewing the numbers just a bit, so that may be a conservative estimate. I would say the probability is closer to 45% or 50

Comments

[thearratik]

The likelihood of you ending up a furry animal by the end of the month.

[kagerou_da_ne]

Considering I know my limits in regards to the rules of the camp, I'd say 0%. However, accounting for Chaos Theory, I'd say they're probably actually between 3 and 4%.

Hello, Panthera.

[thearratik]

The camp rules aren't the only thing that turn you furry, apparently. One of the florists was a delightful little rabbit when I met him.

Hello, Naoe.

[kagerou_da_ne]

I see.

Considering I've only been afflicted with a camp effect for roughly four days of the two months I have been here, I would say between 10% and 15%.

But that is only for any status effect - in order to calculate my odds of furry rabbit-dom, I would have to know every camp virus and affliction that has ever occured.

[thearratik]

Excellent point.

[kagerou_da_ne]

Nothing is incalculable if you have the proper variables.

[thearratik]

But the variables here are always changing.

[kagerou_da_ne]

With viruses, yes. Some other variables are more constant and can be used in equations, though.

[thearratik]

Such as...?

[kagerou_da_ne]

The gravitational constant, for example, or Planck's constant.

[thearratik]

What is Planck's constant?

[kagerou_da_ne]

An expression of constant energy over a period of time. It is often seen in nuclear physics and quantum mechanics.

[thearratik]

So you use it to calculate expenditures of energy?

[kagerou_da_ne]

Yes - it's expressed in Joules per second, Joules being the amount of energy it takes to exert a force of one Newton for one meter.

One Joule per second is also known as a Watt.

[thearratik]

...the lightbulbs are in watts, yes?

[kagerou_da_ne]

Electricity, yes. Power plants measure their output in kilowatts.