Math time.
Assuming:
Y = [t + 2I + A+ 2(SI + 2SA)]/400 300
and
X = 100% - Y
I would say my probability of returning to my home world within the next month would be between 65% and 75%. However, the short time I have been in camp is skewing the numbers just a bit, so that may be a conservative estimate. I would say the probability is closer to 45% or 50%.
Based upon recent observations, the likelyhood that I would return to camp again is expressed as:
X = [(HP + IP)/t]/100
Which would give me roughly a 40% to 50% chance of returning the next month after departure, decreasing every month thereafter.
Does anyone else have anything they'd like me to calculate?
Edit: I apologize. It seems the divisor in the first problem should be 300 instead of 400. 400 is probably over-shooting just a bit.
Y = [t + 2I + A+ 2(SI + 2SA)]/400 300
and
X = 100% - Y
I would say my probability of returning to my home world within the next month would be between 65% and 75%. However, the short time I have been in camp is skewing the numbers just a bit, so that may be a conservative estimate. I would say the probability is closer to 45% or 50%.
Based upon recent observations, the likelyhood that I would return to camp again is expressed as:
X = [(HP + IP)/t]/100
Which would give me roughly a 40% to 50% chance of returning the next month after departure, decreasing every month thereafter.
Does anyone else have anything they'd like me to calculate?
Edit: I apologize. It seems the divisor in the first problem should be 300 instead of 400. 400 is probably over-shooting just a bit.